School of Teacher (Physical) Education, Taizhou University, Taizhou, China.
College of Physical Education, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, China.
Front Public Health. 2024 Sep 13;12:1427961. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1427961. eCollection 2024.
To explore the dynamic changes and trends in the body shape of Hmong children aged 7-12 years from 1985 to 2019, and to predict them, to provide a reference for the physical health level of Hmong children.
The body shape data of Hmong children aged 7-12 years old from the Chinese National Survey on Students' Constitution and Health (CNSSCH) in 1985, 1991, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2014, and 2019 were used for longitudinal comparative analysis, and the grey GM(1,1) model was established based on this as a time series. Forecast the future development trend in 2025 and 2030.
The growth and development level of Hmong elementary children continues to increase, and the prevalence of overweight and obesity is increasing year by year, requiring early prevention and intervention to promote the healthy development of physical fitness of Hmong, as well as other ethnic minority students.
为了探讨 1985 年至 2019 年间 7-12 岁苗族儿童体型的动态变化和趋势,并对其进行预测,为苗族儿童的身体健康水平提供参考。
利用中国学生体质与健康调研(CNSSCH)1985 年、1991 年、1995 年、2000 年、2005 年、2010 年、2014 年和 2019 年 7-12 岁苗族儿童的体型数据,进行纵向比较分析,并在此基础上建立灰色 GM(1,1)模型作为时间序列。预测 2025 年和 2030 年的未来发展趋势。
1)1985 年至 2019 年,苗族小学生体型各项指标均呈上升趋势,身高(=3.91,>0.05;=3.91,>0.05)、体重(=8.04,<0.01;=6.36,<0.05)和 BMI(=19.15,<0.01;=10.24,<0.01)随年龄增长而增加,增长率:体重> BMI>身高,女生增长速度快于男生;2)超重和肥胖的患病率逐年上升,从 1991 年的 5.2%和 1.2%分别上升到 2014 年的 12.4%(χ 2=3.89,<0.05)和 8.7%(χ 2=3.98,<0.05),呈显著增长趋势,尤其是 2000 年以后,超重和肥胖进入快速增长阶段;3)预测结果显示,2025 年和 2030 年身高、体重和 BMI 将继续增加,但增长率将下降,体重和 BMI 的增加大于身高,超重和肥胖仍将快速增长。
苗族小学生生长发育水平不断提高,超重肥胖患病率逐年上升,需要早预防早干预,促进苗族等少数民族学生体质健康发展。