Model multifactor analysis of soil heavy metal pollution on plant germination in Southeast Chengdu, China: Based on redundancy analysis, factor detector, and XGBoost-SHAP.

This study assessed the levels of soil heavy metal pollution in agricultural land in southeastern Chengdu and its effects on the germination stage of higher plants. Through extensive soil sampling and laboratory analyses, 15 soil environmental factors were measured, including soil density, porosity, pH, field moisture capacity (FMC), calcium carbonate (CaCO), and heavy metals such as arsenic (As) and cadmium (Cd). Acute toxicity tests were performed on sorghum (Sorghum bicolor) and Brassica napus (Brassica napus var. napus). The results of the geo-accumulation index (I) and enrichment factor (EF) analyses indicate a higher risk of pollution and enrichment of As and Cd in the study area, with relatively lower risks for other heavy metals. Additionally, the current soil heavy metal concentrations inhibited the growth of sorghum and Brassica napus shoots and roots during the germination stage. Redundancy analysis (RDA), factor detector, and XGBoost-SHAP models identified the As, Cd, FMC, and CaCO contents, soil density, and porosity as the primary factors influencing plant growth. Among these factors, FMC, porosity, and Cd were found to promote plant growth, whereas soil density and As demonstrated inhibitory effects. CaCO had a dual effect, initially promoting growth but later inhibiting it as its concentration increased. Further analysis revealed that Brassica napus is more sensitive to soil environmental factors than sorghum, particularly to Cd and As, while sorghum has greater tolerance. Moreover, roots were found to be more sensitive than shoots to soil environmental factors, with roots being influenced primarily by physical factors such as FMC and soil density, whereas shoots were affected primarily by chemical factors such as As and Cd. This study addresses the significant lack of data regarding the impact of soil heavy metal concentrations on plant growth in southeastern Chengdu, providing a scientific basis for regional environmental monitoring, soil remediation, and plant cultivation optimization.