Abramitzky Ran, Boustan Leah
Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.
PNAS Nexus. 2024 Oct 1;3(10):pgae344. doi: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae344. eCollection 2024 Oct.
We contribute to the public debate on immigration policy in the United States by providing a long-term, empirical perspective. We develop a novel method of linking individuals across historical Census waves to trace the lives of millions of immigrants in the past and compare their outcomes with immigrants today. We document that upward mobility is just as possible for immigrants today as it was in the early 20th century, and that children of immigrant parents catch up to and frequently exceed the economic outcomes of the children of US-born parents. By our measures, immigrants as a group are no more likely to be incarcerated than those born in the United States, and they assimilate into American culture today at rates comparable to historical standards. Attitudes toward immigrants today are more positive than a century ago, albeit more polarized by political party.
我们通过提供长期的实证视角,为美国移民政策的公众辩论做出贡献。我们开发了一种新颖的方法,将不同历史时期人口普查中的个人联系起来,以追溯过去数百万移民的生活,并将他们的结果与如今的移民进行比较。我们记录到,如今移民向上流动的可能性与20世纪初一样大,而且移民父母的子女能够赶上并经常超过美国本土父母子女的经济成就。根据我们的衡量标准,移民群体被监禁的可能性并不高于在美国出生的人,而且他们如今融入美国文化的速度与历史标准相当。如今,尽管按政党划分两极分化更严重,但对移民的态度比一个世纪前更为积极。