Abramitzky Ran, Boustan Leah Platt, Eriksson Katherine
Department of Economics, Stanford University, 579 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA 94305, and NBER (
Department of Economics, UCLA, 8283 Bunche Hall, Los Angeles, CA 90095, and NBER (
Am Econ Rev. 2012 Aug;102(5):1832-1856. doi: 10.1257/aer.102.5.1832.
During the age of mass migration (1850-1913), one of the largest migration episodes in history, the United States maintained a nearly open border, allowing the study of migrant decisions unhindered by entry restrictions. We estimate the return to migration while accounting for migrant selection by comparing Norway-to-US migrants with their brothers who stayed in Norway in the late nineteenth century. We also compare fathers of migrants and nonmigrants by wealth and occupation. We find that the return to migration was relatively low (70 percent) and that migrants from urban areas were negatively selected from the sending population. "Keep, ancient lands, your storied pomp!" cries she With silent lips. "Give me your tired, your poor, Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, The wretched refuse of your teeming shore. Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door!"--Emma Lazarus (1883).
在大规模移民时代(1850 - 1913年),这是历史上最大规模的移民潮之一,美国维持着近乎开放的边境,使得对移民决策的研究不受入境限制的阻碍。我们通过比较19世纪后期从挪威移民到美国的人与留在挪威的兄弟,在考虑移民选择因素的情况下估算移民的回报。我们还按财富和职业比较了移民和非移民的父亲。我们发现移民的回报相对较低(70%),并且来自城市地区的移民是从迁出人口中被负面筛选出来的。“守住你们古老的土地,你们传说中的盛况!”她双唇紧闭,高呼。“把你们疲惫的、你们贫穷的,你们挤在一起渴望自由呼吸的大众,你们那拥挤海岸上可怜的弃儿送交给我。把这些无家可归的、饱受暴风雨吹打的人送到我这里,我在金色的大门旁举起我的灯!”——艾玛·拉撒路(1883年)