Computer Science Department, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.
School of Information, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Aug 2;119(31):e2120510119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2120510119. Epub 2022 Jul 29.
We classify and analyze 200,000 US congressional speeches and 5,000 presidential communications related to immigration from 1880 to the present. Despite the salience of antiimmigration rhetoric today, we find that political speech about immigration is now much more positive on average than in the past, with the shift largely taking place between World War II and the passage of the Immigration and Nationality Act in 1965. However, since the late 1970s, political parties have become increasingly polarized in their expressed attitudes toward immigration, such that Republican speeches today are as negative as the average congressional speech was in the 1920s, an era of strict immigration quotas. Using an approach based on contextual embeddings of text, we find that modern Republicans are significantly more likely to use language that is suggestive of metaphors long associated with immigration, such as "animals" and "cargo," and make greater use of frames like "crime" and "legality." The tone of speeches also differs strongly based on which nationalities are mentioned, with a striking similarity between how Mexican immigrants are framed today and how Chinese immigrants were framed during the era of Chinese exclusion in the late 19th century. Overall, despite more favorable attitudes toward immigrants and the formal elimination of race-based restrictions, nationality is still a major factor in how immigrants are spoken of in Congress.
我们对 1880 年至现在的 20 万篇美国国会演讲和 5000 篇总统移民相关演讲进行了分类和分析。尽管如今反移民言论备受关注,但我们发现,政治演讲对移民的态度现在平均来说比过去更加积极,这种转变主要发生在第二次世界大战和 1965 年《移民和国籍法》通过期间。然而,自 20 世纪 70 年代末以来,政党在其对移民的态度上变得越来越两极化,以至于如今共和党的演讲与 20 世纪 20 年代的平均国会演讲一样消极,当时的移民配额非常严格。我们采用了一种基于文本上下文嵌入的方法,发现现代共和党人更有可能使用长期以来与移民相关的隐喻性语言,如“动物”和“货物”,并且更频繁地使用“犯罪”和“合法性”等框架。演讲的语气也强烈地基于所提到的国籍而有所不同,如今对墨西哥移民的描述方式与 19 世纪末中国移民被描述的方式惊人地相似,当时正值排华时期。总的来说,尽管对移民的态度更加有利,而且正式取消了基于种族的限制,但国籍仍然是国会在谈论移民时的一个主要因素。