Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, Shanxi, PR China; Shanxi Key Laboratory of Mathematical Techniques in Complex Systems, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, PR China; Key Laboratory of Complex Systems and Data Science of Ministry of Education, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, PR China.
Baoji Vocational Technical College, Baoji 721013, PR China.
J Theor Biol. 2024 Dec 7;595:111964. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111964. Epub 2024 Oct 9.
Most of epidemic models assume that duration of the disease phase is distributed exponentially for the simplification of model formulation and analysis. Actually, the exponentially distributed assumption on the description of disease stages is hard to accurately approximate the interplay of drug concentration and viral load within host. In this article, we formulate an immuno-epidemiological epidemic model on complex networks, which is composed of ordinary differential equations and integral equations. The linkage of within- and between-host is connected by setting that the death caused by the disease is an increasing function in viral load within host. Mathematical analysis of the model includes the existence of the solution to the epidemiological model on complex networks, the existence and stability of equilibrium, which are completely determined by the basic reproduction number of the between-host system. Numerical analysis are shown that the non-exponentially distributions and the topology of networks have significant roles in the prediction of epidemic patterns.
大多数传染病模型假设疾病阶段的持续时间呈指数分布,以简化模型的制定和分析。实际上,疾病阶段描述的指数分布假设很难准确逼近药物浓度和病毒载量在宿主内的相互作用。在本文中,我们在复杂网络上构建了一个免疫传染病模型,该模型由常微分方程和积分方程组成。通过设置由宿主内病毒载量引起的死亡是一个随时间增加的函数,将宿主内和宿主间的联系连接起来。该模型的数学分析包括复杂网络上传染病模型解的存在性、平衡点的存在性和稳定性,这些完全由宿主间系统的基本再生数决定。数值分析表明,非指数分布和网络拓扑结构对传染病模式的预测具有重要作用。