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中国特大城市的城市密度与空间碳排放绩效

Urban density and spatial carbon emission performance of megacities in China.

作者信息

Yang Yang, Zhang Jianmin, Huang Jingyuan, Zhao Yongchao, Zhao Qian

机构信息

School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), Beijing, 100083, China.

Shijiazhuang Campus, Army Engineering University, Shijiazhuang, 050003, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Oct 11;14(1):23862. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-75163-0.

Abstract

Increasing urban density promotes a greater social role for cities. The current low-carbon city development goals put forward higher requirements for carbon performance. Based on the viewpoint of minimizing natural resource input and maximizing value acquisition in ecological benefits, the influence of urban density on spatial carbon performance is analyzed by polynomial function relationship, and Beijing and Shanghai with different urban function positioning are taken as examples for comparative analysis. Combined with Point-of-Interest (POI), the classification benchmark of industrial activities was established, and the spatial kernel density of ArcGIS software was used to analyze the industrial agglomeration characteristics of the two cities. The results show that: 1) The "increase-decrease-increase-decrease" trend of urban spatial carbon performance over time fluctuates around the unary linear trend of urban density.2) Population and building density are too low or too high, which is not conducive to emission reduction. The change of economic density is influenced by the industrial structure. The change of urban density is negatively correlated with the growth rate of spatial carbon performance. In a certain development stage, the increase of urban density will inhibit the growth of spatial carbon performance to some extent. 3) Maintaining the original economic and industrial structure, the increase in economic density brought by the simple expansion of scale is not conducive to emission reduction. The increase of economic density brought by the transformation of economic or industrial structure and the reduction of the proportion of secondary industry is conducive to urban emission reduction.

摘要

城市密度的增加促进了城市更大的社会作用。当前的低碳城市发展目标对碳绩效提出了更高要求。基于自然资源投入最小化和生态效益价值获取最大化的观点,通过多项式函数关系分析城市密度对空间碳绩效的影响,并以具有不同城市功能定位的北京和上海为例进行对比分析。结合兴趣点(POI),建立了产业活动分类基准,并利用ArcGIS软件的空间核密度分析了两市的产业集聚特征。结果表明:1)城市空间碳绩效随时间的“增减增减”趋势围绕城市密度的一元线性趋势波动。2)人口和建筑密度过低或过高均不利于减排。经济密度的变化受产业结构影响。城市密度变化与空间碳绩效增长率呈负相关。在一定发展阶段,城市密度的增加会在一定程度上抑制空间碳绩效的增长。3)在维持原有经济和产业结构的情况下,规模简单扩张带来的经济密度增加不利于减排。经济或产业结构转型带来的经济密度增加以及第二产业比重降低有利于城市减排。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f5c0/11470075/e957e74382db/41598_2024_75163_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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