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中国278个地级市技术创新对碳排放强度的影响研究

Study on the effect of technological innovation on carbon emission intensity in 278 prefecture-level cities in China.

作者信息

Zhu Xuelian, Che Jianan, Niu Xiaogeng, Cao Nannan, Liu Meiyu

机构信息

School of Economics, Hebei GEO University, Shijiazhuang, 050031, China.

Research Base for Scientific-Technological Innovation and Regional Economic Sustainable Development of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, 050031, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 28;15(1):14917. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-99370-5.

Abstract

In the context of combating climate change and pursuing sustainable economic development, technological innovation is considered to be an important engine for promoting the green transformation of the economy and achieving sustainable development. This study investigates the impact of technological innovation on the carbon intensity of Chinese cities using a spatial Durbin model combined with prefecture-level data. Through a standard spatial econometric analysis, this paper reveals the spatial relationship between the innovation and carbon emission, which exceeds the maximum explanatory power of linear regression. The results of empirical analysis show that: (1) overall, the improvement of technological innovation level in China has a negative spatial spillover effect on the carbon emission intensity of cities, which can reduce the carbon emission intensity of the city and the neighboring cities; (2) from a geographical perspective, the spatial spillover effect of the level of technological innovation on the carbon emission intensity of cities in western China is not significant compared with cities in other regions; (3) the spatial spillover effect of the improvement of technological innovation on the carbon emission intensity of non-resource-based cities is more significant than that of resource-based cities. Therefore, we need to increase investment in technological innovation and optimize the industrial structure. At the same time, we need to fully utilize the spatial spillover effect to help cities achieve synergistic carbon reduction.

摘要

在应对气候变化和追求可持续经济发展的背景下,技术创新被认为是推动经济绿色转型和实现可持续发展的重要引擎。本研究运用空间杜宾模型并结合地级市数据,考察技术创新对中国城市碳强度的影响。通过标准的空间计量分析,本文揭示了创新与碳排放之间的空间关系,其超出了线性回归的最大解释力。实证分析结果表明:(1)总体而言,中国技术创新水平的提高对城市碳排放强度具有负向空间溢出效应,能够降低本市及邻近城市的碳排放强度;(2)从地理角度看,与其他地区城市相比,西部地区城市技术创新水平对碳排放强度的空间溢出效应不显著;(3)技术创新水平提高对非资源型城市碳排放强度的空间溢出效应比资源型城市更显著。因此,我们需要增加技术创新投入,优化产业结构。同时,要充分利用空间溢出效应,助力城市实现协同降碳。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/dd2a/12037857/3a42589450d6/41598_2025_99370_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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