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胆囊周围脂肪条索作为急性胆囊炎患者住院时间的预测因素:一种新型评分模型。

Pericholecystic Fat Stranding as a Predictive Factor of Length of Stays of Patients with Acute Cholecystitis: A Novel Scoring Model.

作者信息

Lee Suh-Won, Tsai Cheng-Han, Lin Hui-An, Chen Yu, Hou Sen-Kuang, Lin Sheng-Feng

机构信息

Department of Emergency Medicine, Taipei Medical University Hospital, Taipei 110, Taiwan.

Department of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 110, Taiwan.

出版信息

J Clin Med. 2024 Sep 26;13(19):5734. doi: 10.3390/jcm13195734.

Abstract

The 2018 Tokyo Guidelines (TG18) are used to classify the severity of acute cholecystitis (AC) but insufficient to predict the length of hospital stay (LOS). For patients with AC, clinical factors and computed tomography features, including our proposed grading system of pericholecystic fat stranding were used for predicting an LOS of ≥7 days in the logistic regression models. Our multivariable model showed age ≥ 65 years (OR: 2.56, < 0.001), C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 2 mg/dL (OR: 1.97, = 0.013), gamma-glutamyltransferase levels (OR: 2.460, = 0.001), TG18 grade (OR: 2.89 per grade, < 0.001), and moderate to severe pericholecystic fat stranding (OR: 2.14, = 0.012) exhibited prolonged LOS ≥ 7 days. We developed a scoring model, including TG18 grades (score of 1-3 per grade), our grading system of fat stranding (score of 1), CRP (score of 1), and gamma-glutamyltransferase (score of 1), and a cutoff of >3 had highest diagnostic performance.

摘要

2018年东京指南(TG18)用于对急性胆囊炎(AC)的严重程度进行分类,但不足以预测住院时间(LOS)。对于AC患者,在逻辑回归模型中,临床因素和计算机断层扫描特征,包括我们提出的胆囊周围脂肪条索分级系统,被用于预测住院时间≥7天。我们的多变量模型显示,年龄≥65岁(OR:2.56,<0.001)、C反应蛋白(CRP)≥2mg/dL(OR:1.97,=0.013)、γ-谷氨酰转移酶水平(OR:2.460,=0.001)、TG18分级(每级OR:2.89,<0.001)以及中度至重度胆囊周围脂肪条索(OR:2.14,=0.012)与住院时间延长≥7天相关。我们开发了一个评分模型,包括TG18分级(每级1 - 3分)、我们的脂肪条索分级系统(1分)、CRP(1分)和γ-谷氨酰转移酶(1分),截断值>3时具有最高的诊断性能。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6b0d/11477346/646d85fe0351/jcm-13-05734-g001.jpg

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