Business School of Xiangtan University, Xiangtan City, Hunan, 411105, P. R. China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Nov;31(52):61629-61642. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-35288-1. Epub 2024 Oct 21.
CO emissions in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries are precisely influenced by economic determinants, requiring a comprehensive perspective. The BRI can augment its prospects for sustainable development by acknowledging the obstacles it faces and promoting global collaboration. Examining the CO emission (COe) in BRI countries in response to economic determinants such as financial development (FD), income distribution (ID), foreign direct investment (FDI), economic complexity index (ECI), and economic growth (EG) will determine the study's long-term and short-term impacts. This study introduces a novel concept of COes by employing panel data from 1991 to 2020. Thus, the CD, Kao, Pedroni, FMOLS, and pooled mean group-autoregressive distributed lag (PMG-ARDL) tests are utilized to assess cointegration. According to empirical findings, economic determinants (ECI, EG, FDI, and ID) have a statistically significant short-run and long-run impact on COe in BRI countries. Policymakers in BRI countries should integrate monetary development, FDI, and COes to foster EG, attract FDI, and promote sustainable development through regulatory frameworks.
“一带一路”倡议（BRI）国家的 CO 排放受到经济决定因素的精确影响，需要全面看待。BRI 可以通过认识到面临的障碍并促进全球合作，增加其可持续发展的前景。考察 BRI 国家的 CO 排放（COe）对经济决定因素（如金融发展（FD）、收入分配（ID）、外国直接投资（FDI）、经济复杂性指数（ECI）和经济增长（EG））的反应，将确定研究的长期和短期影响。本研究通过使用 1991 年至 2020 年的面板数据引入了 COe 的新概念。因此，使用 CD、Kao、Pedroni、FMOLS 和面板均值组自回归分布滞后（PMG-ARDL）检验来评估协整。根据实证结果，经济决定因素（ECI、EG、FDI 和 ID）在短期和长期内对 BRI 国家的 COe 都有统计学意义的影响。BRI 国家的政策制定者应将货币发展、FDI 和 COe 整合起来，通过监管框架促进 EG、吸引 FDI 和促进可持续发展。
