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新冠疫情防控措施对法国婴儿意外猝死发生率的影响

Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic Interventions on Sudden Unexpected Death in Infancy Incidence in France.

作者信息

Scherdel Pauline, Ricard Adeline, Gras-le Guen Christèle, Jarry Bérengère, Ferrand Léa, Levieux Karine, Ouldali Naïm, de Visme Sophie, Aupiais Camille

机构信息

Nantes Université, CHU Nantes, INSERM, UIC Femme-Enfant-Adolescent, Nantes, France.

Nantes Université, CHU Nantes, INSERM, UIC Femme-Enfant-Adolescent, Nantes, France; Pediatric Emergency Department, Nantes University Hospital, Nantes, France.

出版信息

J Pediatr. 2025 Feb;277:114369. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2024.114369. Epub 2024 Oct 19.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To study the impact of nonpharmaceutical interventions implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic on the monthly incidence of sudden unexpected death in infancy (SUDI) cases overall and those with a viral or bacterial identification.

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted an interrupted time-series analysis using seasonally adjusted Poisson regression models from the French national prospective and multicenter SUDI registry, that included all SUDI cases below the age of 1 year who died from 2016 to 2021 in mainland France.

RESULTS

Of 998 SUDI cases analyzed, 750 were recorded during the prepandemic period (January 2016 through March 2020) and 248 during the NPI period (April 2020 through December 2021). We found a significant seasonal pattern of overall monthly SUDI incidence, with a peak observed periodically from November to February. The monthly SUDI incidence decreased significantly from the prepandemic to NPI periods (adjusted incidence rate ratio 0.83 [95% CI 0.72-0.96]). In particular, the monthly incidence of SUDI cases with a viral or bacterial identification decreased significantly, while no significant difference was found for SUDI cases without a viral or bacterial identification.

CONCLUSIONS

Nonpharmaceutical interventions were associated with a significant change in the incidence of SUDI cases with a viral or bacterial identification. Further investigations are needed to analyze the pathophysiologic role of viruses and bacteria in the SUDI.

摘要

目的

研究2019冠状病毒病大流行期间实施的非药物干预措施对婴儿猝死综合征(SUDI)总体月发病率以及有病毒或细菌鉴定结果的病例的影响。

研究设计

我们使用法国国家前瞻性多中心SUDI登记处的季节性调整泊松回归模型进行了中断时间序列分析,该登记处纳入了2016年至2021年在法国大陆死亡的所有1岁以下SUDI病例。

结果

在分析的998例SUDI病例中,750例记录于大流行前时期(2016年1月至2020年3月),248例记录于非药物干预时期(2020年4月至2021年12月)。我们发现总体SUDI月发病率存在显著的季节性模式,11月至2月期间定期出现峰值。从大流行前时期到非药物干预时期,SUDI月发病率显著下降(调整发病率比为0.83 [95%CI 0.72 - 0.96])。特别是,有病毒或细菌鉴定结果的SUDI病例月发病率显著下降,而无病毒或细菌鉴定结果的SUDI病例未发现显著差异。

结论

非药物干预与有病毒或细菌鉴定结果的SUDI病例发病率的显著变化相关。需要进一步研究来分析病毒和细菌在SUDI中的病理生理作用。

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