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使用机器学习算法预测有症状肾结石:法萨成年人队列研究(FACS)的见解。

Predicting symptomatic kidney stones using machine learning algorithms: insights from the Fasa adults cohort study (FACS).

机构信息

Student Research Committee, Fasa University of Medical Sciences, Fasa, Iran.

USERN Office, Fasa University of Medical Sciences, Fasa, Iran.

出版信息

BMC Res Notes. 2024 Oct 24;17(1):318. doi: 10.1186/s13104-024-06979-2.

DOI:10.1186/s13104-024-06979-2
PMID:39449034
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11515596/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To enhance the identification of individuals at risk of developing clinically significant kidney stones.

METHODS

In this study, data from the Fasa Adults Cohort Study were analyzed to explore factors linked to symptomatic and clinically significant kidney stone disease. After cleaning, 10,128 participants with 103 variables were studied. One outcome variable (presence of symptomatic kidney stones) and 102 predictor variables from surveys and tests were assessed. Five Machine learning (ML) algorithms (SVM, RF, KNN, GBM, XGB) were applied to examine kidney stone factors, with performance comparisons made. Data balancing was done using SMOTE, and metrics like accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, and AUC were evaluated for each algorithm.

RESULTS

The XGB model outperformed others with AUC of 0.60, while RF, GBM, SVC, and KNN had AUC values of 0.58, 0.57, 0.54, and 0.52. RF, GBM, and XGB showed good accuracy at 0.81, 0.81, and 0.77. Top predictors for kidney stones were serum creatinine, salt intake, hospitalization history, sleep duration, and BUN levels.

CONCLUSIONS

ML models show promise in evaluating an individual's risk of developing painful kidney stones and recommending early lifestyle changes to reduce this risk. Further research can enhance predictive accuracy and tailor interventions for better prevention/management.

摘要

目的

提高识别有发生临床显著肾结石风险个体的能力。

方法

本研究对法萨成年人队列研究的数据进行分析,以探讨与症状性和临床显著肾结石疾病相关的因素。在清理后,研究了 10128 名参与者的 103 个变量。评估了一个结局变量(存在症状性肾结石)和来自调查和检测的 102 个预测变量。应用 5 种机器学习(ML)算法(SVM、RF、KNN、GBM、XGB)来检查肾结石因素,并进行性能比较。使用 SMOTE 进行数据平衡,评估每个算法的准确性、精度、敏感性、特异性、F1 评分和 AUC 等指标。

结果

XGB 模型的 AUC 为 0.60,优于其他模型,而 RF、GBM、SVC 和 KNN 的 AUC 值分别为 0.58、0.57、0.54 和 0.52。RF、GBM 和 XGB 的准确性较好,分别为 0.81、0.81 和 0.77。肾结石的主要预测因素是血清肌酐、盐摄入量、住院史、睡眠时间和 BUN 水平。

结论

ML 模型在评估个体发生疼痛性肾结石的风险以及推荐早期生活方式改变以降低这种风险方面显示出潜力。进一步的研究可以提高预测准确性,并为更好的预防/管理量身定制干预措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7915/11515596/312364c8141a/13104_2024_6979_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7915/11515596/1f5ce939ea08/13104_2024_6979_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7915/11515596/b09e3f657634/13104_2024_6979_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7915/11515596/312364c8141a/13104_2024_6979_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7915/11515596/1f5ce939ea08/13104_2024_6979_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7915/11515596/b09e3f657634/13104_2024_6979_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7915/11515596/312364c8141a/13104_2024_6979_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2024 Sep 1;19(9):1130-1137. doi: 10.2215/CJN.0000000000000496. Epub 2024 Jul 19.
2
CT-based radiomics of machine-learning to screen high-risk individuals with kidney stones.基于 CT 的机器学习放射组学筛选肾结石高危个体。
Urolithiasis. 2024 Jun 15;52(1):91. doi: 10.1007/s00240-024-01593-0.
3
Machine learning-based models to predict the conversion of normal blood pressure to hypertension within 5-year follow-up.
基于机器学习的模型预测正常血压在 5 年内转为高血压。
PLoS One. 2024 Mar 14;19(3):e0300201. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0300201. eCollection 2024.
4
Sleep and circadian rhythm disturbance in kidney stone disease: a narrative review.肾结石病中的睡眠和昼夜节律紊乱:叙述性综述。
Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2023 Nov 27;14:1293685. doi: 10.3389/fendo.2023.1293685. eCollection 2023.
5
Predictive Modeling of Urinary Stone Composition Using Machine Learning and Clinical Data: Implications for Treatment Strategies and Pathophysiological Insights.基于机器学习和临床数据的尿石成分预测模型:对治疗策略和病理生理学见解的影响。
J Endourol. 2024 Aug;38(8):778-787. doi: 10.1089/end.2023.0446. Epub 2024 May 30.
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Risk Factors for Common Kidney Stones Are Correlated with Kidney Function Independent of Stone Composition.常见肾结石的风险因素与结石成分无关,而与肾功能相关。
Am J Nephrol. 2023;54(7-8):329-336. doi: 10.1159/000531046. Epub 2023 May 30.
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A comparison between asymptomatic and symptomatic ureteral stones.无症状性与有症状性输尿管结石的比较。
Sci Rep. 2023 Feb 16;13(1):2757. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-29866-5.
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Association between body fat distribution and kidney stones: Evidence from a US population.体脂肪分布与肾结石的关系:来自美国人群的证据。
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