Pre-COVID-19 cognitive social capital trajectories and peri-COVID-19 depression in China, 2014-2020: A longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND

Social capital is dynamic; however, little is known about the association of its dynamics with peri-pandemic health. We examined the longitudinal association of pre-COVID-19 cognitive social capital trajectories with peri-COVID-19 depressive symptoms and the moderating effect of province-level COVID-19 severity on the association in China.

METHODS

We employed four-wave data from China Family Panel Studies between 2014 and 2020. Depressive symptoms in 2020 were measured by the 8-item Center for Epidemiological Studies-Depression Scale. Pre-COVID-19 cognitive social capital from 2014 to 2018 included dichotomized (high/low) generalized trust, trust in neighbors, trust in local government officials, and reciprocity, each of which included five trajectories: persistently low, decreased, fluctuated, increased, and persistently high. Province-level COVID-19 severity in 2020 was a factor score constructed by the number of provincial COVID-19 cases and deaths. We conducted mixed-effects linear regression to answer our research questions.

RESULTS

Persistently low generalized trust (β: 0.46; 95 % CI: 0.15,0.78), persistently low (β: 0.57; 95 % CI: 0.22, 0.92), decreased (β: 0.36; 95 % CI: 0.07, 0.65) and increased (β: 0.40; 95 % CI: 0.12, 0.68) trust in neighbors, and persistently low (β: 0.39; 95 % CI: 0.02, 0.77) and decreased (β: 0.68; 95 % CI: 0.38, 0.97) reciprocity, compared with their persistently high trajectories, were associated with a higher level of peri-COVID-19 depressive symptoms. We did not find robust evidence to support the moderating effect of province-level COVID-19 severity.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term strategies to increase cognitive social capital and prevent cognitive social capital decline are needed to protect mental health against a pandemic.