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一种利用港口双向腹地数据的混合集装箱吞吐量预测方法。

A hybrid container throughput forecasting approach using bi-directional hinterland data of port.

作者信息

Zeng Fangli, Xu Shuojiang

机构信息

Logistics and E-Commerce College, Zhejiang Wanli University, Ningbo, 315104, China.

The Key Research Center of Philosophy and Social Science of Zhejiang Province - Modern Port Service Industry and Creative Culture Research Center, Zhejiang, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Oct 26;14(1):25502. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-77376-9.

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of port container throughput plays a crucial role in optimising port operations, resource allocation, supply chain management, etc. However, existing studies only focus on the impact of port hinterland economic development on container throughput, ignoring the impact of port foreland. This study proposed a container throughput forecasting model based on deep learning, which considers the impact of port hinterland and foreland on container throughput. Real-world experimental results showed that the proposed model with multiple data sources outperformed other forecasting methods, achieving significantly higher accuracy. The implications of this study are significant for port authorities, logistics companies, and policymakers.

摘要

准确预测港口集装箱吞吐量对于优化港口运营、资源分配、供应链管理等方面起着至关重要的作用。然而,现有研究仅关注港口腹地经济发展对集装箱吞吐量的影响,而忽略了港口前沿的影响。本研究提出了一种基于深度学习的集装箱吞吐量预测模型,该模型考虑了港口腹地和前沿对集装箱吞吐量的影响。实际实验结果表明,所提出的具有多数据源的模型优于其他预测方法,具有显著更高的准确性。本研究的意义对于港口当局、物流公司和政策制定者而言十分重大。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/91a7/11513938/f9dce0e8c83c/41598_2024_77376_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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