Jingrong Dong, Haitao Zhang, Wenqing Zhang, Jiahui Luo, Yi Yang, Yaqin Tu
Chongqing Normal University, Gaoxin, Chongqing, 401331, China.
School of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Shapingba, Chongqing, 400044, China.
Sci Rep. 2024 Oct 28;14(1):25873. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-77879-5.
Industrial green and low-carbon transformation plays a crucial role in China's efforts to achieve its Carbon peaking and Carbon neutrality objectives. The implementation of environmental regulation policies is a key institutional framework that facilitates this transformation. Therefore, it is of great importance to explore the impact and interplay of these policies on industrial green and low-carbon transformation to foster high-quality economic development. This study categorizes environmental regulation policy instruments into three types: command-type, investment-type, and expense-type. Using industrial panel data from 30 provinces in China spanning the period from 1997 to 2021, both theoretical analysis and empirical testing are conducted to investigate the effects of these different policy instruments on industrial green and low-carbon transformation. The benchmark regression results show that the impact of command-type environmental regulation and investment-type environmental regulation on industrial green and low-carbon transformation shows an inverted U-shaped feature of rising first and then declining. The impact of cost-based environmental regulation on industrial green and low-carbon transformation shows a U-shaped feature of decreasing first and then increasing. The coupling of command-type environmental regulation and investment-type environmental regulation, command-type environmental regulation and expense-type environmental regulation, and the coupling of the three kinds of environmental regulation can promote industrial green and low-carbon transformation. The mechanism test results show that the impact of formal environmental regulation on industrial green and low-carbon transformation has a transmission mode of "formal environmental regulation-green technology innovation path-green and low-carbon transformation."
产业绿色低碳转型在中国实现碳达峰和碳中和目标的努力中发挥着关键作用。环境规制政策的实施是推动这一转型的关键制度框架。因此，探究这些政策对产业绿色低碳转型的影响及相互作用，对于促进高质量经济发展具有重要意义。本研究将环境规制政策工具分为三类：命令型、投资型和费用型。利用1997年至2021年中国30个省份的工业面板数据，进行了理论分析和实证检验，以考察这些不同政策工具对产业绿色低碳转型的影响。基准回归结果表明，命令型环境规制和投资型环境规制对产业绿色低碳转型的影响呈现先上升后下降的倒U形特征。成本型环境规制对产业绿色低碳转型的影响呈现先下降后上升的U形特征。命令型环境规制与投资型环境规制的耦合、命令型环境规制与费用型环境规制的耦合以及三种环境规制的耦合都能促进产业绿色低碳转型。机制检验结果表明，正式环境规制对产业绿色低碳转型的影响具有“正式环境规制—绿色技术创新路径—绿色低碳转型”的传导模式。
