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玉米对农业机械化的物候响应:来自中国小麦-玉米轮作制度的证据。

Phenological responses of corn to agricultural mechanization: Evidence from a wheat-corn double cropping system in China.

机构信息

College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.

China Academy for Rural Development, School of Public Affairs, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Nov 1;19(11):e0312812. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0312812. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0312812
PMID:39485762
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11530014/
Abstract

The development of multi-cropping systems is hampered by the seasonal shortage problem of growing two or three crops within a year. Exploring strategies to alleviate phenological constraints in multi-cropping systems is crucial for increasing grain production. Using a county-level panel dataset with detailed crop progress information from China, this study investigates whether mechanized winter wheat harvest can alleviate the phenological constraints of a shorter growing season for subsequent summer corn in a wheat-corn double cropping system. The results show that mechanized winter wheat harvest considerably extends the length of the summer corn growing season. This spillover effect of mechanized winter wheat harvest is particularly evident in plains and hilly areas with larger farm sizes. Further analysis of the mechanism indicates that mechanized winter wheat harvest affects the length of the summer corn growing season by advancing the planting date and delaying the maturity date. These results underscore the importance of advancing agricultural mechanization to enhance food security under limited land resources.

摘要

多作物种植系统的发展受到一年内种植两到三种作物的季节性短缺问题的阻碍。探索缓解多作物种植系统物候限制的策略对于提高粮食产量至关重要。本研究利用中国县级面板数据集,该数据集包含详细的作物进度信息,调查了机械化冬小麦收获是否可以缓解小麦-玉米两熟制中较短生长季节对后续夏玉米的物候限制。结果表明,机械化冬小麦收获大大延长了夏玉米的生长季节。这种机械化冬小麦收获的溢出效应在平原和丘陵地区以及农场规模较大的地区尤为明显。对机制的进一步分析表明,机械化冬小麦收获通过提前种植日期和延迟成熟日期来影响夏玉米生长季节的长度。这些结果强调了在有限的土地资源下,推进农业机械化对于提高粮食安全的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d804/11530014/fa02b4d41608/pone.0312812.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d804/11530014/fd9cc8b21bc0/pone.0312812.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d804/11530014/94514f3ce601/pone.0312812.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d804/11530014/fa02b4d41608/pone.0312812.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d804/11530014/fd9cc8b21bc0/pone.0312812.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d804/11530014/94514f3ce601/pone.0312812.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d804/11530014/fa02b4d41608/pone.0312812.g003.jpg

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Projected climate and agronomic implications for corn production in the Northeastern United States.美国东北部地区玉米生产的预估气候和农艺影响。
PLoS One. 2018 Jun 11;13(6):e0198623. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0198623. eCollection 2018.
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U.S. Agro-Climate in 20 Century: Growing Degree Days, First and Last Frost, Growing Season Length, and Impacts on Crop Yields.
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Sci Rep. 2018 May 3;8(1):6977. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-25212-2.
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Factors associated with small-scale agricultural machinery adoption in Bangladesh: Census findings.孟加拉国小型农业机械采用的相关因素:普查结果
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Maize growing duration was prolonged across China in the past three decades under the combined effects of temperature, agronomic management, and cultivar shift.在过去三十年中,由于温度、农艺管理和品种转变的综合影响,中国各地的玉米生长时间都延长了。
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Negative effects of climate warming on maize yield are reversed by the changing of sowing date and cultivar selection in Northeast China.气候变化对玉米产量的负面影响在中国东北地区通过改变播种日期和品种选择而得到逆转。
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