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全球标志性事件:2023年是登革热病例最严重的一年,报告称数百万人感染,数千人死亡。

Global landmark: 2023 marks the worst year for dengue cases with millions infected and thousands of deaths reported.

作者信息

Haider Najmul, Hasan Mohammad Nayeem, Onyango Joshua, Asaduzzaman Md

机构信息

School of Life Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Keele University, Keele, United Kingdom.

Department of Statistics, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, Bangladesh.

出版信息

IJID Reg. 2024 Sep 26;13:100459. doi: 10.1016/j.ijregi.2024.100459. eCollection 2024 Dec.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

In 2023, the world experienced the worst dengue virus (DENV) outbreak on record. The study aimed to identify global regions and continents with high burden of dengue in 2023.

DESIGN

We collected data on the number of DENV cases and deaths reported by various countries to the World Health Organization and World Health Organization regional offices. We estimated DENV cases per million population and case fatality ratio (CFR) among the confirmed cases reported by each country.

RESULTS

Overall, in 2023 more than 6.5 million cases and over 6,800 deaths attributed to DENV were recorded globally, marking a historic milestone. Two distinct hotspots of DENV circulation emerged: South America and South and Southeast Asian regions. South America reported the highest number of cases (3,924,992), and 1,946 deaths, with a CFR of 0.05. In Asia, 1,622,405 cases and 3,637 deaths were reported, with a CFR of 0.22. We observed a statistically significant difference in the number of cases and deaths per million across different continents (-value <0.001). However, the CFR did not differ significantly across continents (-value = 0.123).

CONCLUSIONS

The increased cases and mortality highlight the urgent need for a comprehensive global approach aimed at DENV infection control, including vaccine development, vector control, public health initiatives, and improved clinical management.

摘要

目标

2023年,全球经历了有记录以来最严重的登革热病毒(DENV)疫情。该研究旨在确定2023年登革热负担较重的全球区域和大洲。

设计

我们收集了各国向世界卫生组织及世界卫生组织区域办事处报告的登革热病例数和死亡数的数据。我们估算了每个国家报告的每百万人口中的登革热病例数以及确诊病例中的病死率(CFR)。

结果

总体而言,2023年全球记录了超过650万例归因于登革热病毒的病例以及超过6800例死亡,这标志着一个历史性的里程碑。出现了两个不同的登革热病毒传播热点地区:南美洲以及南亚和东南亚地区。南美洲报告的病例数最多(3924992例),死亡1946例,病死率为0.05。在亚洲,报告了1622405例病例和3637例死亡,病死率为0.22。我们观察到不同大洲每百万人口的病例数和死亡数存在统计学显著差异(P值<0.001)。然而,各大洲的病死率没有显著差异(P值 = 0.123)。

结论

病例数和死亡率的增加凸显了迫切需要采取全面的全球方法来控制登革热病毒感染,包括疫苗研发、病媒控制、公共卫生举措以及改善临床管理。

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