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一种用于揭示国际股票市场替代关系的新型发现模型:基于关联规则分析。

A novel discovery model for revealing substitution relationships from international stock markets: With association rule analysis.

作者信息

Dai Luote, Huang Chengkui, Yu Chuyu, Gu Shengyu

机构信息

School of Digital Economy & Trade, Wenzhou Polytechnic, Wenzhou, 325000, China.

Department of Business Administration, National Chung Cheng University, Chaiyi, Taiwan, 621301.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Oct 10;10(20):e38774. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e38774. eCollection 2024 Oct 30.

Abstract

At present, the trading volume of the stock market is huge, and the traditional method can not effectively find the relationship between the rise and fall of the stock market, but the machine learning method can find their interrelated data from a large number of data. This research aims to determine the effectiveness of association mining technology in analyzing the relationship between the ups and downs of stock markets in various countries, and it found the highest level of association between stock market items as investor references. The research data takes Taiwan's stock market as the target market and the international mainstream stock index as the related stock market. Through the analysis, it is found that association mining can accurately find the associated stock market according to the relevant parameters. The Taiwan stock market is more closely related to the top ten economies such as the Mainland, the United States, the United Kingdom and France, which shows that the rise of the international or mainland stock market will drive foreign capital to actively buy the Taiwan stock market, and vice versa. At last, the study sorted out three groups of stocks with the highest correlation degree according to the results of association mining, Namely Foxconn Stock (2354) and TSMC (2330), which are most closely related to the rise and fall of the international stock market. Therefore, the results of this study can also be used as a reference for investors to choose the stock price of Taiwan stock market.

摘要

目前,股票市场交易量巨大,传统方法无法有效找出股票市场涨跌之间的关系,但机器学习方法能够从大量数据中找到它们的相关数据。本研究旨在确定关联挖掘技术在分析各国股票市场涨跌关系方面的有效性,并发现股票市场项目之间的最高关联水平以供投资者参考。研究数据以台湾股票市场为目标市场,国际主流股票指数为相关股票市场。通过分析发现,关联挖掘能够根据相关参数准确找到关联股票市场。台湾股票市场与中国大陆、美国、英国和法国等十大经济体联系更为紧密,这表明国际或中国大陆股票市场的上涨将促使外资积极买入台湾股票市场,反之亦然。最后,该研究根据关联挖掘结果梳理出三组相关性最高的股票,即与国际股票市场涨跌关系最为密切的富士康股票(2354)和台积电股票(2330)。因此,本研究结果也可为投资者选择台湾股票市场股价提供参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8a72/11538731/d6b07f17e34d/gr1.jpg

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