TIFIES Research Group and Southampton Malaysia Business School, University of Southampton Malaysia, Malaysia.
Department of Economics, Abdullah Gül University, Turkey.
J Environ Manage. 2024 Dec;371:123229. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123229. Epub 2024 Nov 9.
The objective of this study is to unravel the linear impacts of economic growth, technological innovation, natural resource rents and trade openness on carbon emissions in Malaysia during 1980-2021. It also unveils the moderating role of technological innovation on the impacts of economic growth, natural resource rents and trade openness on carbon emissions. It further analyses the nonlinear relationship between technological innovation and carbon emissions. It estimates the parameters with the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model technique. The results of the linear model reveal that economic growth, natural resource rents and trade openness contributes to carbon emissions while technological innovation mitigates carbon emissions. The disaggregated analysis of natural resource rents indicates that oil rents, natural gas rents and coal rents intensify carbon emissions while mineral rents and forest rents do not contribute to carbon emissions. The disaggregated analysis of trade openness shows that exports worsen carbon emissions while imports have tenuous effect. The disaggregated analysis of technological innovation indicates that innovation by non-residents mitigate carbon emissions while innovation by residents do not alleviate carbon emissions. Moreover, evidence from the interaction model reveals that technological innovation can favourably mitigate the adverse impacts of economic growth and trade openness on carbon emissions albeit it cannot alleviate the impact of natural resource rents on carbon emissions. Besides, the nonlinear model indicates a U-shaped relationship between technological innovation and carbon emissions. Unlike previous studies that typically focused on the direct impacts of these variables, this study unravels the impacts of the disaggregated components as well as provides insights into the moderating and nonlinear effects of technological innovation on carbon emissions. The implication of this study is that efforts to achieve a carbon-neutral economy should consider the direct and indirect impacts of economic growth, technological innovation, natural resource rents and trade openness. It is recommended for Malaysia to encourage technological innovation in her quest to abate the adverse environmental impacts of economic activities.
本研究旨在揭示 1980-2021 年期间马来西亚经济增长、技术创新、自然资源租金和贸易开放度对碳排放的线性影响,同时揭示技术创新对经济增长、自然资源租金和贸易开放度对碳排放影响的调节作用。进一步分析技术创新与碳排放之间的非线性关系。利用自回归分布滞后模型技术估计参数。线性模型的结果表明,经济增长、自然资源租金和贸易开放度促进了碳排放,而技术创新则减轻了碳排放。自然资源租金的细分分析表明,石油租金、天然气租金和煤炭租金加剧了碳排放,而矿产租金和森林租金则没有对碳排放做出贡献。贸易开放度的细分分析表明,出口恶化了碳排放,而进口则有微弱的影响。技术创新的细分分析表明,非居民的创新减轻了碳排放,而居民的创新则没有减轻碳排放。此外,来自交互模型的证据表明,技术创新可以有利地减轻经济增长和贸易开放度对碳排放的不利影响,尽管它不能减轻自然资源租金对碳排放的影响。此外,非线性模型表明技术创新与碳排放之间存在 U 型关系。与以往通常关注这些变量直接影响的研究不同,本研究揭示了细分成分的影响,并深入了解技术创新对碳排放的调节和非线性影响。本研究的意义在于,实现碳中和经济的努力应该考虑经济增长、技术创新、自然资源租金和贸易开放度的直接和间接影响。建议马来西亚在寻求减轻经济活动对环境的不利影响时,鼓励技术创新。