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技术创新会限制贸易调整后的碳排放吗?

Does technological innovation limit trade-adjusted carbon emissions?

作者信息

Wahab Salman

机构信息

School of Economics, Qingdao University, Shandong Province, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Jul;28(28):38043-38053. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13345-3. Epub 2021 Mar 16.

Abstract

The objective of this analysis is to examine the impact of international trade and technological innovation over the 1990-2018 period on the G7 economy's consumption-based carbon emissions. The report explores international trade by separately considering imports and exports. The results indicate that the data cross-sections are dependent and that the panel has slope heterogeneity. The results of the co-integration study indicate that imports, exports of technological innovation, GDP, and demand-related carbon emissions are co-integrated with systemic splits (2001 mild recession, 2008 financial crises, and 2011 decline of stock market, and 2014 export decline). The cross sectionally augmented autoregressive distributive lag model results show that technological innovation and exports have a negative effect on the use of carbon. Meanwhile, imports and GDP are positive associated with carbon emissions based on consumption. The analysis of the robustness test also verifies these impacts. The results of this research study show that policymakers and regulators can encourage technological innovation to reduce carbon pollution and improve the sustainability of the environment.

摘要

本分析的目的是考察1990 - 2018年期间国际贸易和技术创新对七国集团经济体基于消费的碳排放的影响。该报告通过分别考虑进口和出口来探讨国际贸易。结果表明,数据横截面是相关的,且面板存在斜率异质性。协整研究结果表明,技术创新的进口、出口、国内生产总值(GDP)以及与需求相关的碳排放与系统性分裂(2001年轻度衰退、2008年金融危机、2011年股市下跌以及2014年出口下降)是协整的。横截面增强自回归分布滞后模型结果表明,技术创新和出口对碳使用有负面影响。与此同时,进口和GDP与基于消费的碳排放呈正相关。稳健性检验分析也验证了这些影响。本研究结果表明,政策制定者和监管机构可以鼓励技术创新以减少碳污染并提高环境的可持续性。

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