Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Lev Hasharon Mental Health Center, Tsur Moshe, Israel.
BMC Psychiatry. 2024 Nov 14;24(1):801. doi: 10.1186/s12888-024-06248-3.
Violence risk is a major challenge among acute psychiatric inpatients. The study aimed to predict violent behavior risk in an acute psychiatric ward using video recordings from the emergency department. 69 videos of the emergency department recording the first ten minutes following patients' arrivals were included. Psychiatrists watched the videos, completed relevant Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale items and answered intuitive questions about each patient's risk of violence. Demographic and clinical data were also collected. Motoric mannerisms as rated in the BPRS significantly differed between violent and non-violent patients (p < 0.05). Additionally, we found a significant correlation between intuitive prediction of violence and actual violence (p = 0.008). Violent behavior was predicted in 42.1% of the cases by the intuitive evaluation compared to 11.5% mistakenly evaluated patients. Logistic regression revealed that the intuitive question and the BPRS items regarding tension and motoric mannerism created a successful model for predicting violence with 88.2% sensitivity and 72.5% specificity. We sought to define the factors that most accurately predict violence in the acute psychiatric ward, based solely on behavior in the emergency department. Intuitive impressions of clinicians and motoric mannerisms should be considered when evaluating patients for potential violent behavior.
暴力风险是急性精神病住院患者面临的主要挑战。本研究旨在通过对急诊科的视频记录来预测急性精神病病房的暴力行为风险。共有 69 个急诊科的视频被纳入研究,这些视频记录了患者到达后的前十分钟。精神科医生观看了这些视频,完成了相关的简明精神病评定量表项目,并回答了关于每位患者暴力风险的直觉问题。同时还收集了人口统计学和临床数据。BPRS 评定的运动方式在暴力和非暴力患者之间存在显著差异(p<0.05)。此外,我们发现直觉预测暴力与实际暴力之间存在显著相关性(p=0.008)。与错误评估的 11.5%患者相比,直觉评估预测到了 42.1%的暴力行为。逻辑回归显示,直觉问题和关于紧张和运动方式的 BPRS 项目创建了一个成功的预测模型,具有 88.2%的敏感性和 72.5%的特异性。我们试图根据急诊科的行为来确定最能准确预测急性精神病病房暴力行为的因素。在评估潜在暴力行为的患者时,临床医生的直觉印象和运动方式都应予以考虑。