Suppr超能文献

分析具有接种和再感染的结核病传播的分数阶流行病学模型。

Analysis of a fractional order epidemiological model for tuberculosis transmission with vaccination and reinfection.

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Dhaka, 1000, Bangladesh.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, 79409, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Nov 16;14(1):28290. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-73392-x.

Abstract

This study has been carried out using a novel mathematical model on the dynamics of tuberculosis (TB) transmission considering vaccination, endogenous re-activation of the dormant infection, and exogenous re-infection. We can comprehend the behavior of TB under the influence of vaccination from this article. We compute the basic reproduction number ( ) as well as the vaccination reproduction number ( ) using the next-generation matrix (NGM) approach. The theoretical analysis demonstrates that the disease-free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable, and the fractional order system is Ulam-Hyers type stable. We perform numerical simulation of our model using the Adams-Bashforth 3-step method to verify the theoretical results and to show the model outputs graphically. By performing data fitting, we observe that our formulated model produces results that closely match real-world data. Our findings indicate that vaccinating a limited segment of the population can effectively eradicate the disease. The numerical simulations also show that vaccination can reduce the number of susceptible and infectious individuals in the population. Moreover, the graphical representations illustrate that the number of infected individuals rises due to both exogenous reinfection and endogenous reactivation.

摘要

本研究使用一种新的数学模型,考虑了疫苗接种、休眠感染的内源性再激活和外源性再感染,对结核病(TB)传播的动力学进行了研究。我们可以从这篇文章中了解到疫苗接种对结核病行为的影响。我们使用下一代矩阵(NGM)方法计算了基本繁殖数( )和疫苗接种繁殖数( )。理论分析表明,无病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的,分数阶系统是 Ulam-Hyers 型稳定的。我们使用 Adams-Bashforth 3 步方法对我们的模型进行数值模拟,以验证理论结果并以图形方式显示模型输出。通过进行数据拟合,我们观察到我们所制定的模型产生的结果与实际数据非常吻合。我们的研究结果表明,对有限的人群进行疫苗接种可以有效地消灭这种疾病。数值模拟还表明,疫苗接种可以减少人群中易感者和感染者的数量。此外,图形表示说明了由于外源性再感染和内源性再激活,感染人数会增加。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8c59/11569259/2339933450f1/41598_2024_73392_Fig1_HTML.jpg

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验