Alvi Jahanzaib, Arif Imtiaz, Nizam Kehkashan
Department of Business Administration, IQRA University Karachi, Pakistan.
Heliyon. 2024 Oct 24;10(21):e39770. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e39770. eCollection 2024 Nov 15.
This research presents a systematic review of a substantial body of high-quality research articles on Default Prediction Models published from 2015 to 2024. It is a comprehensive analysis of a DPM wide spectrum approaches including Textual Models, Systematic Review Studies, Hybrid Models, Intelligent Models and Statistical Models. The reason behind this study is rooted in the critical need to mitigate and understand the credit default risk that poses a significant threat to financial stability worldwide. By employing an evidence-based approach and methodological rigorously, this research critically evaluates the gaps, effectiveness and evolution in existing DPM methodologies. It is not only synthesized the current landscape of DPM study but also identified the direction for the future research, by offering novel insights and bridging theoretical gaps for enhancing the strategies of credit risk management. This study stands out by focusing on high citation research from top tier publishers, ensuring the quality and relevance of its analysis. The findings of this study have profound implications for stakeholders across the financial sector, including bankers, investors, regulatory bodies, and researchers. It aims to advance financial stability by providing a comprehensive overview of DPM advancements and pointing towards areas that require further exploration. By doing so, it contributes significantly to the development of more effective and sophisticated DPM strategies, thereby enhancing the robustness of financial institutions against potential defaults.
本研究对2015年至2024年发表的关于违约预测模型的大量高质量研究文章进行了系统综述。它是对违约预测模型广泛方法的全面分析,包括文本模型、系统综述研究、混合模型、智能模型和统计模型。这项研究背后的原因源于迫切需要减轻和理解对全球金融稳定构成重大威胁的信用违约风险。通过采用基于证据的方法并严格遵循方法论,本研究批判性地评估了现有违约预测模型方法中的差距、有效性和演变。它不仅综合了违约预测模型研究的当前状况,还通过提供新颖的见解和弥合理论差距来确定未来研究的方向,以加强信用风险管理策略。本研究通过关注顶级出版商的高引用研究而脱颖而出,确保了其分析的质量和相关性。这项研究的结果对金融领域的利益相关者,包括银行家、投资者、监管机构和研究人员,具有深远的影响。它旨在通过全面概述违约预测模型的进展并指出需要进一步探索的领域来促进金融稳定。通过这样做,它为更有效和复杂的违约预测模型策略的发展做出了重大贡献,从而增强了金融机构抵御潜在违约的稳健性。