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运用德尔菲法构建有主观认知下降的老年人身体活动促进指标体系。

Construction of physical activity promoting indicators system for older adults with subjective cognitive decline using Delphi method.

机构信息

School of nursing, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, 11 North Third Ring East Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing, China.

International Medical Department, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Beijing city, China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2024 Nov 18;24(1):3206. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20762-9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

For older adults with subjective cognitive decline (SCD), physical activity is now recognized as an effective means to reduce the risk of Alzheimer's disease. However, this population often exhibits lower levels of physical activity. This study aimed to establish physical activity promoting indicators system for older adults with SCD, providing comprehensive targets for interventions and promoting relevant policies.

METHOD

A modified Delphi technique was used to seek opinions from experts about what should be used and prioritised as indicators of promoting physical activity in older adults with SCD. Expert consultations were conducted from January to March 2024. Data were analyzed using SPSS 27.0 and Excel software. Descriptive statistics were used for expert demographics, while coefficients were calculated to assess expert authority (Cr), and coordination (Kendall's W). Weights for indicators were determined through the order diagram.

RESULTS

Based on a literature review and the Wuli-Shili-Renli system framework, we initially identified 59 indicators, comprising primary (3 dimensions), secondary (11 items), and tertiary (45 items) indicators. Fifteen expert panelists were invited to participate in the study. Of these, 11 out of 18 completed round 1 (61.1% response rate), all 11 completed round 2 (100.0% response rate), and all 11 completed the third and final round (100.0% response rate). Ultimately, consensus was reached on 3 primary, 9 secondary, and 44 tertiary indicators. The order diagram determined weights for primary indicators as follows: foundational system (0.4242), operational system (0.2879), and personnel system (0.2879).

CONCLUSION

The system of 56 physical activity-promoting indicators constructed for older adults with SCD through the Delphi method provides theoretical support for policy formulation and allocation of funds to comprehensively promote physical activity behaviors among this population.

摘要

背景

对于有主观认知下降(SCD)的老年人来说,体育活动现在被认为是降低患阿尔茨海默病风险的有效手段。然而,这一人群的体育活动水平往往较低。本研究旨在为 SCD 老年人建立体育活动促进指标体系,为干预措施提供全面目标,并推动相关政策的制定。

方法

采用改良 Delphi 技术,征求专家对 SCD 老年人体育活动促进指标应选用和优先选用的意见。专家咨询于 2024 年 1 月至 3 月进行。采用 SPSS27.0 和 Excel 软件进行数据分析。描述性统计用于专家人口统计学,专家权威系数(Cr)和协调系数(Kendall's W)用于计算。通过序贯图确定指标权重。

结果

基于文献回顾和“物理-事理-人理”系统框架,我们初步确定了 59 项指标,包括一级(3 个维度)、二级(11 项)和三级(45 项)指标。邀请了 15 名专家组成专家小组参与研究。其中,18 名专家中有 11 名(61.1%的回复率)完成了第一轮,所有 11 名(100.0%的回复率)完成了第二轮,所有 11 名(100.0%的回复率)完成了第三轮。最终,3 个一级、9 个二级和 44 个三级指标达成共识。序贯图确定一级指标权重为:基础系统(0.4242)、运行系统(0.2879)和人员系统(0.2879)。

结论

通过 Delphi 法为 SCD 老年人构建的 56 项体育活动促进指标体系,为该人群体育活动行为的全面促进提供了政策制定和资金分配的理论支持。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4c01/11575052/e3795eca55e4/12889_2024_20762_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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