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最快的 24 小时超级马拉松选手来自东欧。

The fastest 24-hour ultramarathoners are from Eastern Europe.

机构信息

Medbase St. Gallen Am Vadianplatz, Vadianstrasse 26, St. Gallen, 9001, Switzerland.

Institute of Primary Care, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Nov 20;14(1):28703. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-75260-0.

Abstract

Ultramarathon running is of increasing popularity, where the time-limited 24-hour run is one of the most popular events. Although we have a high scientific knowledge about different topics for this specific race format, we do not know where the best 24-hour runners originate from and where the fastest races are held. The purpose of the present study was to investigate the origin of these runners and the fastest race locations. A machine learning model based on the XG Boost algorithm was built to predict running speed based on the athlete´s age, gender, country of origin and the country where the race takes place. Model explainability tools were used to investigate how each independent variable would influence the predicted running speed. A sample of 171,358 race records from 63,514 unique runners from 73 countries participating in 24-hour races held in 57 countries between 1807 and 2022 was analyzed. Most of the athletes originated from the USA, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Russia, Australia, Austria, and Canada. Tunisian athletes achieved the fastest average running speed, followed by runners from Russia, Latvia, Lithuania, Island, Croatia, Slovenia, and Israel. Regarding the country of the event, the ranking looks quite similar to the participation by the athlete, suggesting a high correlation between the country of origin and the country of the event. The fastest 24-hour races are recorded in Israel, Romania, Korea, the Netherlands, Russia, and Taiwan. On average, men were 0.4 km/h faster than women, and the fastest runners belonged to age groups 35-39, 40-44, and 45-49 years. In summary, the 24-hour race format is spread over the world, and the fastest athletes mainly originate from Eastern Europe, while the fastest races were organized in European and Asian countries.

摘要

超长距离跑步越来越受欢迎,限时 24 小时的跑步比赛是其中最受欢迎的项目之一。虽然我们对这种特定比赛形式的许多主题都有很高的科学认识,但我们不知道最佳 24 小时跑步者来自何处,以及最快的比赛在哪里举行。本研究的目的是调查这些跑步者的起源和最快比赛地点。基于 XGBoost 算法建立了一个机器学习模型,根据运动员的年龄、性别、原籍国和比赛地点来预测跑步速度。使用模型解释工具来研究每个自变量如何影响预测的跑步速度。分析了来自 73 个国家的 63514 名独特跑步者的 171358 个比赛记录,这些运动员参加了 1807 年至 2022 年间在 57 个国家举行的 24 小时比赛。大多数运动员来自美国、法国、德国、英国、意大利、日本、俄罗斯、澳大利亚、奥地利和加拿大。突尼斯运动员的平均跑步速度最快,其次是俄罗斯、拉脱维亚、立陶宛、冰岛、克罗地亚、斯洛文尼亚和以色列的运动员。就比赛举办国而言,排名与运动员的参赛情况非常相似,这表明原籍国和比赛举办国之间存在高度相关性。最快的 24 小时比赛记录在以色列、罗马尼亚、韩国、荷兰、俄罗斯和中国台湾。平均而言,男性比女性快 0.4 公里/小时,最快的跑步者属于 35-39 岁、40-44 岁和 45-49 岁年龄组。总的来说,24 小时比赛形式遍布全球,最快的运动员主要来自东欧,而最快的比赛则在欧洲和亚洲国家举行。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0ed1/11579506/a830cc74be00/41598_2024_75260_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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