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生存分析显示,印度矽肺合并肺结核患者的死亡率更高,需要在职业环境中采用雇主主导的护理模式。

Survival analysis shows tuberculosis patients with silicosis experience earlier mortality and need employer-led care models in occupational settings in India.

机构信息

Clinical Epidemiology (Division of Health Sciences), ICMR - National Institute of Occupational Health (NIOH), Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), Meghaninagar, Ahmedabad, 380016, Gujarat, India.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Nov 21;14(1):28891. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-80367-5.

Abstract

India's high tuberculosis (TB) burden is exacerbated by concurrent silicosis, which increases TB susceptibility and worsens treatment outcomes. Limited studies on TB patients with silicosis highlight the need to address this vulnerable group's specific challenges, particularly to improve diagnosis and management. This retrospective cohort study analyzed survival data from 137 silico-tuberculosis and 2,605 TB-only patients in Khambhat, India, using Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and comparisons between Cox proportional hazards and accelerated failure time (AFT) models. The lognormal AFT model, selected for its lowest Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), estimated survival times based on age, gender, HIV status, and prior TB treatment. Among the 2,742 patients, 309 (11%) died within 27 months. Median time from diagnosis to outcome was shorter for deceased patients (1.7 months) than for censored patients (5.6 months, p < 0.001, median test). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significantly steeper survival decline for silico-tuberculosis patients (p < 0.001, log-rank test). Silico-tuberculosis was associated with a two-fold increased mortality risk (HR = 2.0, 95% CI: 1.4-3.0, p < 0.001, Cox-proportional hazards regression). The lognormal AFT model indicated silico-tuberculosis patients had 36% of the median survival time compared to TB-only patients (16 vs. 44 months). These findings highlight significantly earlier mortality in silico-tuberculosis patients, underscoring the need for targeted, employer-led care models and TB-silicosis collaborative screening within India's TB program for high-risk occupational groups.

摘要

印度的结核病(TB)负担很高,同时患有矽肺会加剧这种负担,使 TB 易感性增加,治疗效果恶化。关于矽肺合并 TB 患者的有限研究强调了需要解决这一弱势群体的特殊挑战,特别是要改善诊断和管理。本回顾性队列研究分析了印度坎贝哈特的 137 例矽肺合并 TB 患者和 2605 例单纯 TB 患者的生存数据,使用 Kaplan-Meier 曲线、对数秩检验以及 Cox 比例风险和加速失效时间(AFT)模型之间的比较。对数正态 AFT 模型因其最低的 Akaike 信息准则(AIC)而被选中,根据年龄、性别、HIV 状态和既往 TB 治疗来估计生存时间。在 2742 例患者中,309 例(11%)在 27 个月内死亡。死亡患者的中位时间从诊断到结局(1.7 个月)短于截尾患者(5.6 个月,p<0.001,中位数检验)。Kaplan-Meier 分析显示,矽肺合并 TB 患者的生存下降明显更为陡峭(p<0.001,对数秩检验)。矽肺合并 TB 与死亡率增加两倍相关(HR=2.0,95%CI:1.4-3.0,p<0.001,Cox 比例风险回归)。对数正态 AFT 模型表明,与单纯 TB 患者相比,矽肺合并 TB 患者的中位生存时间减少了 36%(16 个月与 44 个月)。这些发现突显了矽肺合并 TB 患者的死亡率明显更早,强调了印度 TB 计划需要针对高危职业群体的雇主主导的护理模式和 TB-矽肺联合筛查。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e975/11582735/f80b921fe4b2/41598_2024_80367_Figa_HTML.jpg

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