Rogvi Jessica Á, Bütikofer Aline, Krebs Lone, Mühlrad Hanna, Wüst Miriam
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Kobenhavn, Denmark.
Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Copenhagen, Kobenhavn, Denmark.
Health Econ. 2025 Mar;34(3):431-441. doi: 10.1002/hec.4914. Epub 2024 Nov 22.
Despite being one of the most common surgical procedures in industrialized countries, there is limited causal evidence on the long-term consequences of Cesarean section (CS). We study the impacts of CS on health during ages 1-12 years and human capital outcomes at age 16 years, using exogenous variation in the probability of receiving a CS for breech births at term-a group with high CS risk. We use administrative data from Denmark, Norway, and Sweden to show that preventing complicated vaginal births benefits health at birth and reduces the number of all-cause hospital nights during childhood. Our findings for childhood diagnoses for asthma, allergies, diabetes mellitus type 1, and school outcomes are imprecise and do thus not lend strong support for prominent hypotheses on CS causing long-term immune dysfunction disorders and, thereby, worse human capital outcomes.
尽管剖宫产是工业化国家最常见的外科手术之一,但关于剖宫产(CS)长期后果的因果证据有限。我们利用足月臀位分娩接受剖宫产概率的外生变化(这是一个剖宫产风险较高的群体),研究剖宫产对1至12岁健康状况以及16岁时人力资本成果的影响。我们使用丹麦、挪威和瑞典的行政数据表明,避免复杂的阴道分娩对出生时的健康有益,并减少儿童期因各种原因住院的天数。我们关于哮喘、过敏、1型糖尿病等儿童疾病诊断以及学业成果的研究结果并不精确,因此并未有力支持关于剖宫产导致长期免疫功能障碍疾病从而导致更差的人力资本成果这一突出假设。