Mohamad Ittirit
Department of Production Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi, Bangkok, Thailand.
Accid Anal Prev. 2025 Feb;210:107840. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107840. Epub 2024 Nov 22.
Rural road accidents involving motorcycle riders present a formidable challenge to road safety globally. This study offers a comprehensive gender-based comparative analysis of rural road accidents among motorcycle riders, aimed at illuminating factors contributing to accidents and discerning potential gender disparities in accident rates and severity. Employing a sophisticated Neural Network approach, the research delves into the intricate relationship between various variables and accident outcomes, with a specific emphasis on identifying gender-specific patterns. For female riders, the ANN model demonstrates impressive overall accuracy (CA) of 92 %, indicating its capability to correctly classify accident outcomes. Precision, which measures the model's ability to avoid false positives, stands at a commendable 90.8 %. Moreover, the model exhibits high recall (92 %) and F1 score (88.4 %), indicating its effectiveness in identifying both fatal and non-fatal accidents among female riders. Additionally, the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) of 0.132 suggests a moderate level of agreement between the predicted and actual outcomes. Upon further examination, it is evident that the model performs exceptionally well in predicting non-fatal accidents for female riders, achieving a precision, recall, and F1 score of 92 %, 99.9 %, and 95.8 %, respectively. However, its performance in predicting fatalities is relatively lower, with a precision of 75.6 % and recall of 2.6 %, resulting in a lower F1 score of 5.0 %. Despite this disparity, the MCC remains consistent at 0.132, indicating a balanced performance across both classes. The findings reveal valuable insights for policymakers and road safety practitioners, providing avenues for the development of targeted interventions and the enhancement of safety measures for motorcycle riders on rural roads. By addressing the gap in understanding gender-related differences in travel habits and accident risks, this research contributes to ongoing efforts to mitigate the impact of road accidents and promote safer travel environments for all road users.
涉及摩托车骑手的农村道路交通事故给全球道路安全带来了巨大挑战。本研究对摩托车骑手的农村道路交通事故进行了全面的基于性别的比较分析,旨在阐明导致事故的因素,并识别事故发生率和严重程度方面潜在的性别差异。该研究采用复杂的神经网络方法,深入探究各种变量与事故结果之间的复杂关系,特别强调识别特定性别的模式。对于女性骑手,人工神经网络模型显示出令人印象深刻的总体准确率(CA)为92%,表明其能够正确分类事故结果。精确率衡量模型避免误报的能力,达到了值得称赞的90.8%。此外,该模型具有较高的召回率(92%)和F1分数(88.4%),表明其在识别女性骑手中的致命和非致命事故方面的有效性。此外,马修斯相关系数(MCC)为0.132,表明预测结果与实际结果之间的一致性处于中等水平。进一步研究发现,该模型在预测女性骑手的非致命事故方面表现出色,精确率、召回率和F1分数分别达到92%、99.9%和95.8%。然而,其在预测死亡事故方面的表现相对较低,精确率为75.6%,召回率为2.6%,导致F1分数较低,为5.0%。尽管存在这种差异,MCC仍保持在0.132,表明在两个类别上的表现较为平衡。这些发现为政策制定者和道路安全从业者提供了宝贵的见解,为制定针对性干预措施和加强农村道路摩托车骑手的安全措施提供了途径。通过解决在理解出行习惯和事故风险方面与性别相关差异的差距,本研究有助于持续努力减轻道路事故的影响,并为所有道路使用者促进更安全的出行环境。