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基于血清神经丝轻链、成纤维细胞生长因子-19以及标准人体测量学和临床变量的新发糖尿病多发性神经病预测模型

Prediction Model for Polyneuropathy in Recent-Onset Diabetes Based on Serum Neurofilament Light Chain, Fibroblast Growth Factor-19 and Standard Anthropometric and Clinical Variables.

作者信息

Maalmi Haifa, Nguyen Phong B H, Strom Alexander, Bönhof Gidon J, Rathmann Wolfgang, Ziegler Dan, Menden Michael P, Roden Michael, Herder Christian

机构信息

Institute for Clinical Diabetology, German Diabetes Center (Deutsches Diabetes-Zentrum/DDZ), Leibniz Center for Diabetes Research at Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany.

German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), München-Neuherberg, Germany.

出版信息

Diabetes Metab Res Rev. 2024 Nov;40(8):e70009. doi: 10.1002/dmrr.70009.

DOI:10.1002/dmrr.70009
PMID:39601435
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11601145/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Diabetic sensorimotor polyneuropathy (DSPN) is often asymptomatic and remains undiagnosed. The ability of clinical and anthropometric variables to identify individuals likely to have DSPN might be limited. Here, we aimed to integrate protein biomarkers for reliably predicting present DSPN.

METHODS

Using the proximity extension assay, we measured 135 neurological and protein biomarkers of inflammation in blood samples of 423 individuals with recent-onset diabetes from the German Diabetes Study (GDS). DSPN was diagnosed based on the Toronto Consensus Criteria. We constructed (i) a protein-based prediction model using LASSO logistic regression, (ii) an optimised traditional risk model with age, sex, waist circumference, height and diabetes type and (iii) a model combining both. All models were bootstrapped to assess the robustness, and optimism-corrected AUCs (95% CI) were reported.

RESULTS

DSPN was present in 16% of the study population. LASSO logistic regression selected the neurofilament light chain (NFL) and fibroblast growth factor-19 (FGF-19) as the most predictive protein biomarkers for detecting DSPN in individuals with recent-onset diabetes. The protein-based model achieved an AUC of 0.66 (0.59, 0.73), while the traditional risk model had an AUC of 0.66 (0.61, 0.74). However, combined features boosted the model performance to an AUC of 0.72 (0.67, 0.79).

CONCLUSION

We developed a prediction model for DSPN in recent-onset diabetes based on two protein biomarkers and five standard anthropometric, demographic and clinical variables. The model has a fair discrimination performance and might be used to inform the referral of patients for further testing.

摘要

背景

糖尿病感觉运动性多发性神经病变(DSPN)通常无症状,仍未被诊断出来。临床和人体测量学变量识别可能患有DSPN个体的能力可能有限。在此,我们旨在整合蛋白质生物标志物以可靠地预测当前的DSPN。

方法

我们使用邻位延伸分析,测量了来自德国糖尿病研究(GDS)的423例近期发病糖尿病患者血样中的135种神经学和炎症蛋白生物标志物。根据多伦多共识标准诊断DSPN。我们构建了(i)使用LASSO逻辑回归的基于蛋白质的预测模型,(ii)包含年龄、性别、腰围、身高和糖尿病类型的优化传统风险模型,以及(iii)结合两者的模型。对所有模型进行自助抽样以评估稳健性,并报告经乐观校正的AUC(95%CI)。

结果

16%的研究人群存在DSPN。LASSO逻辑回归选择神经丝轻链(NFL)和成纤维细胞生长因子-19(FGF-19)作为检测近期发病糖尿病个体中DSPN最具预测性的蛋白质生物标志物。基于蛋白质的模型AUC为0.66(0.59,0.73),而传统风险模型的AUC为0.66(0.61,0.74)。然而,联合特征将模型性能提高到AUC为0.72(0.67,0.79)。

结论

我们基于两种蛋白质生物标志物以及五个标准人体测量学、人口统计学和临床变量,开发了一种用于近期发病糖尿病中DSPN的预测模型。该模型具有较好的鉴别性能,可用于指导患者转诊进行进一步检测。

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本文引用的文献

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Serum neurofilament light chain: a novel biomarker for early diabetic sensorimotor polyneuropathy.血清神经丝轻链:早期糖尿病感觉运动多发性神经病的新型生物标志物。
Diabetologia. 2023 Mar;66(3):579-589. doi: 10.1007/s00125-022-05846-8. Epub 2022 Dec 6.
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A Nomogram for Predicting the Possibility of Peripheral Neuropathy in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.
预测2型糖尿病患者周围神经病变可能性的列线图
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Clin Res Cardiol. 2023 Feb;112(2):227-235. doi: 10.1007/s00392-022-02068-1. Epub 2022 Aug 5.
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Prediction of Diabetic Sensorimotor Polyneuropathy Using Machine Learning Techniques.使用机器学习技术预测糖尿病性感觉运动性多发性神经病变
J Clin Med. 2021 Oct 2;10(19):4576. doi: 10.3390/jcm10194576.
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Confidence intervals of prediction accuracy measures for multivariable prediction models based on the bootstrap-based optimism correction methods.基于 bootstrap 校正方法的多变量预测模型预测准确性度量的置信区间。
Stat Med. 2021 Nov 20;40(26):5691-5701. doi: 10.1002/sim.9148. Epub 2021 Jul 24.
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Machine Learning Approaches to Predict Risks of Diabetic Complications and Poor Glycemic Control in Nonadherent Type 2 Diabetes.预测非依从性2型糖尿病患者糖尿病并发症风险和血糖控制不佳的机器学习方法
Front Pharmacol. 2021 Jun 22;12:665951. doi: 10.3389/fphar.2021.665951. eCollection 2021.
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Diagnostics (Basel). 2021 Apr 28;11(5):801. doi: 10.3390/diagnostics11050801.
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Differences and Similarities in Neuropathy in Type 1 and 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review.1型和2型糖尿病神经病变的异同:一项系统评价
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