UK Health Security Agency, London, UK.
King's College London, London, UK.
BMJ Open. 2024 Nov 28;14(11):e081865. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-081865.
To perform a model-based cost-effectiveness evaluation of a rapid antimicrobial susceptibility test.
A Markov model of a cohort of hospital inpatients with urinary tract infection (with inpatient numbers based on national administrative data from 1 April 2017 to 31 March 2019).
Urinary tract infections (UTI) in acute National Health Service (NHS) Trusts in England, from the perspective of the NHS Healthcare system, at a national level.
A simulated cohort of approximately 280 000 non-pregnant adult inpatients within secondary care with a clinical suspicion of UTI.
Evaluation of the implementation of a fast bacterial impedance cytometry test (BICT) compared with current practice.
Incremental cost, quality-adjusted life years, net monetary benefit, and bed days and appropriateness of antibiotic use per patient. Costs are presented in 2022 GBP.
Considering benefits arising from reduced time on inappropriate treatment, BICT gives an average net monetary benefit (NMB) over the simulation period of approximately £4.3 million and dominates culture methods (from the healthcare system perspective and with a willingness to pay threshold of £20 000 per quality-adjusted life year). Total inappropriate prescribing days due to the BICT test are reduced by 57%. The extent of the benefit from BICT implementation was strongly dependent on prevalence of resistance, with the NMB increasing sevenfold to over £30 million in a high (40%) resistance prevalence scenario. At the population level, the patient groups with the highest cost and quality-adjusted life year impacts were 65-100-year-old females, followed by males, with uncomplicated UTIs. At an individual patient level, however, 16-64-year-old females with complicated UTIs with oral treatment, followed by 65-100-year-old males with complicated UTIs with oral treatment, were impacted to the greatest degree by the rapid BICT.
Under conservative assumptions and for wide parameter sensitivity, the implementation of BICT would be cost-effective from the NHS healthcare system perspective.
对快速抗菌药敏试验进行基于模型的成本效益评估。
基于 2017 年 4 月 1 日至 2019 年 3 月 31 日国家行政管理数据的住院患者队列的 Markov 模型(住院人数)。
英格兰急性国民保健服务(NHS)信托医院的尿路感染(UTI),从 NHS 医疗保健系统的角度来看,在国家层面。
大约 280000 名在二级保健中有 UTI 临床疑似症状的非孕妇成年住院患者的模拟队列。
评估快速细菌阻抗细胞仪测试(BICT)的实施与当前实践相比的情况。
增量成本、质量调整生命年、净货币收益以及每位患者的床位和抗生素使用的适宜性。成本以 2022 年英镑呈现。
考虑到因减少接受不适当治疗的时间而带来的收益,BICT 在模拟期间的平均净货币收益(NMB)约为 430 万英镑,并且优于培养方法(从医疗保健系统的角度来看,并且愿意支付每质量调整生命年 20000 英镑的阈值)。由于 BICT 测试导致的不适当处方天数减少了 57%。BICT 实施的收益程度强烈取决于耐药性的流行程度,在耐药性高(40%)的情况下,NMB 增加了七倍,超过 3000 万英镑。在人群层面,成本和质量调整生命年影响最大的患者群体是 65-100 岁的女性,其次是男性,患有单纯性 UTI。然而,在个体患者层面,接受口服治疗的复杂性 UTI 的 16-64 岁女性和接受口服治疗的复杂性 UTI 的 65-100 岁男性受到快速 BICT 的影响最大。
在保守假设和广泛的参数敏感性下,从 NHS 医疗保健系统的角度来看,实施 BICT 将具有成本效益。