Vincent Carol L, Poehling Katherine A, Rigdon Joseph, Schaich Christopher L, South Andrew M, Downs Stephen M
Department of Pediatrics (C.L.V., K.A.P., A.M.S., S.M.D.), Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC.
Department of Epidemiology and Prevention (K.A.P., A.M.S.), Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC.
Hypertension. 2025 Feb;82(2):393-401. doi: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.124.23437. Epub 2024 Dec 5.
Intensive blood pressure (BP) control in youth with chronic kidney disease (CKD) slows progression, delaying the need for kidney replacement therapy (KRT). Most youth with CKD have hypertension and BP control is difficult to achieve outside of controlled experimental settings. Implementing effective BP control strategies in this population may be cost-saving despite requiring additional resources. Our objective was to determine the economic and clinical impact of intensive versus usual care for BP management in youth with CKD in a microeconomic model.
We developed a decision tree from the US payer perspective to estimate the total costs and clinical effect of an intensified BP intervention over 5 years, modeled after the ESCAPE trial (Effect of Strict Blood Pressure Control and Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme [ACE] Inhibition on Progression of Chronic Renal Failure in Pediatric Patients) protocol. We compared this intervention to usual care in a hypothetical population of youth with mild-to-moderate CKD. Probabilities were informed by published literature; cost estimates were informed by publicly available data. Our outcomes were the net discounted cost of an intensive BP intervention, number needed to treat with the intervention to prevent 1 KRT episode, and incremental cost per KRT episode avoided.
An intensive BP intervention, with a goal of an average 24-hour mean arterial pressure <50th percentile, improved outcomes with net cost savings of $9440 per participant over 5 years compared with usual care. To prevent 1 episode of KRT over 5 years, 13 participants need to receive intensive BP intervention.
Routine use of the ESCAPE protocol for intensive BP control in youth with CKD could save overall costs for the payer and improve clinical outcomes.
对患有慢性肾脏病(CKD)的青少年进行强化血压(BP)控制可减缓疾病进展,推迟肾脏替代治疗(KRT)的需求。大多数患有CKD的青少年患有高血压,且在对照实验环境之外难以实现血压控制。尽管需要额外资源,但在这一人群中实施有效的血压控制策略可能会节省成本。我们的目标是在微观经济模型中确定强化治疗与常规治疗对CKD青少年血压管理的经济和临床影响。
我们从美国医保支付方的角度构建了一个决策树,以估计强化血压干预在5年内的总成本和临床效果,该模型以ESCAPE试验(严格血压控制和血管紧张素转换酶[ACE]抑制对儿科慢性肾衰竭进展的影响)方案为蓝本。我们将这种干预措施与假设的轻度至中度CKD青少年人群的常规治疗进行比较。概率依据已发表的文献确定;成本估计依据公开可得的数据确定。我们的结果包括强化血压干预的净贴现成本、为预防1次KRT发作所需接受干预治疗的人数,以及每避免1次KRT发作的增量成本。
强化血压干预的目标是平均24小时平均动脉压低于第50百分位数,与常规治疗相比,可改善结局,每位参与者在5年内净节省成本9440美元。为预防5年内发生1次KRT发作,需要13名参与者接受强化血压干预。
对患有CKD的青少年常规使用ESCAPE方案进行强化血压控制可为医保支付方节省总体成本并改善临床结局。