Zhang Ziqi, Zhang Weijie, Liu Zhidong, Ou Jiayi, Sun Yunhong, Zhang Li, Ji Guang
Institute of Digestive Diseases, Longhua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Guangzhou Institute of Cancer Research, the Affiliated Cancer Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2025 May;35(5):103781. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2024.10.019. Epub 2024 Oct 26.
Identifying metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) patients at increased risk of cardiovascular mortality remains an unmet clinical need. We investigated the ability of four systemic inflammation markers to identify cardiovascular mortality risk in MASLD patients.
This cohort study included 4787 MASLD patients from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2005 through 2018. The weighted Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the relationship between four systemic indicators of inflammation and cardiovascular mortality. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 7.0 (3.8-10.3) years, 567 all-cause mortality and 174 cardiovascular mortality were recorded. Compared to the first quartile of systemic inflammation levels, the HRs of cardiovascular mortality in the fourth quartile were 3.22 (95 % CI 1.83-5.66) for SII, 2.74 (95 % CI 1.32-5.69) for SIRI, 3.69 (95 % CI 1.87-7.28) for NLR, and 1.83 (95 % CI 1.05-3.20) for PLR. For predicting 10-year cardiovascular mortality, SIRI (AUC = 0.70) and NLR (AUC = 0.69) were superior to SII (AUC = 0.60) and PLR (AUC = 0.52). Stratification of MASLD patients based on the optimal cutoff values revealed an HR of 2.67 (95 % CI 1.65-4.32) for cardiovascular mortality with SIRI > 1.23, and an HR of 2.39 (95 % CI 1.51-3.79) with NLR > 2.18. Combining systemic inflammation markers with the Fibrosis-4 Score can provide more accurate prognostic information for MASLD patients.
SIRI and NLR outperformed SII and PLR in predicting the risk of cardiovascular mortality, proving to be useful tools for risk stratification in MASLD patients.
识别心血管死亡风险增加的代谢功能障碍相关脂肪性肝病(MASLD)患者仍然是一项未满足的临床需求。我们研究了四种全身炎症标志物识别MASLD患者心血管死亡风险的能力。
这项队列研究纳入了2005年至2018年美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)中的4787例MASLD患者。采用加权Cox比例风险模型评估四种全身炎症指标与心血管死亡之间的关系。在中位(四分位间距)随访7.0(3.8 - 10.3)年期间,记录了567例全因死亡和174例心血管死亡。与全身炎症水平的第一个四分位数相比,全身免疫炎症指数(SII)处于第四个四分位数时心血管死亡的风险比(HR)为3.22(95%置信区间1.83 - 5.66),全身炎症反应指数(SIRI)为2.74(95%置信区间1.32 - 5.69),中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)为3.69(95%置信区间1.87 - 7.28),血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)为1.83(95%置信区间1.05 - 3.20)。对于预测10年心血管死亡,SIRI(曲线下面积[AUC]=0.70)和NLR(AUC = 0.69)优于SII(AUC = 0.60)和PLR(AUC = 0.52)。根据最佳截断值对MASLD患者进行分层显示,SIRI>1.23时心血管死亡的HR为2.67(95%置信区间1.65 - 4.32),NLR>2.18时HR为2.39(95%置信区间1.51 - 3.79)。将全身炎症标志物与Fibrosis-4评分相结合可为MASLD患者提供更准确的预后信息。
在预测心血管死亡风险方面,SIRI和NLR优于SII和PLR,被证明是MASLD患者风险分层的有用工具。