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土耳其按体重指数类别划分的年度医疗支出及肥胖的经济影响:一项回顾性建模研究。

Annual Health Expenditures by Body Mass Index Categories and the Economic Impact of Obesity in Türkiye: A Retrospective Modeling Study.

作者信息

Oksuz Ergun, Malhan Simten, Alis Halil, GogasYavuz Dilek, Karakan Tarkan, Sargin Mehmet, Sonmez Alper, Tokgozoglu Lale, Gurser Batu, Safak Yilmaz Esra, Yumuk Volkan Demirhan

机构信息

Department of Family Medicine, University of Health Sciences Ankara Training and Research Hospital, Ankara, Turkey.

Department of Healthcare Management, Baskent University Faculty of Health Sciences, Ankara, Turkey.

出版信息

Obes Facts. 2025;18(3):269-286. doi: 10.1159/000542821. Epub 2024 Dec 10.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Obesity is considered not only a public health issue on a global scale but also a disease adversely affecting the world economies. Economic impact of overweight and obesity has not yet been investigated in Türkiye at a national level. This study aimed to investigate the impact of obesity on healthcare costs in Türkiye and to estimate the overall national economic burden of obesity.

METHODS

The study was based on a cross-sectional analysis of retrospectively pooled data from 2009 to 2014 payer claims data and 2014-2019 Türkiye Health Survey (THS). In the first step, obesity-related annual per person overall health expenditures in adults with obesity were calculated and calculations were also made in subgroups of payer and healthcare categories. In the second step, using the developed model, the national economic disease burden of adult obesity was estimated, along with the projections for the estimated expenditures over the next 30 years. Economic values were adjusted according to US dollar values of 2021 purchasing power parities (PPPs) (PPP 1.0 = 2.782 TRY).

RESULTS

The annual healthcare costs were significantly higher in individuals with obesity than in those with normal body mass index (BMI) (odds ratio 1.243; 95% confidence interval: 1.206-1.281), and the cost increment was positively correlated with higher BMI (by 117% in class I obesity vs. 169% in class III obesity, p < 0.001). In the year 2021, obesity-related direct and indirect costs in adults were estimated to be PPP 27.4 billion and 39.5 billion, respectively. The total economic burden was estimated to be PPP 66.9 billion, which is equivalent to 2.6% of gross national product. Direct medical cost of obesity corresponds to 8.4% of total health expenditure in Türkiye.

CONCLUSIONS

Obesity is both an individual and social health problem, which emphasizes the potential role of a range of stakeholders, besides the health sector, in addressing this problem. The indirect costs comprise the key cost driver of the total national cost of obesity, which forms the rationale for population-wide policy interventions toward prevention or reduction of obesity.

摘要

引言

肥胖不仅被视为全球范围内的一个公共卫生问题,也是一种对世界经济产生不利影响的疾病。超重和肥胖对土耳其经济的影响尚未在国家层面进行过调查。本研究旨在调查肥胖对土耳其医疗保健成本的影响,并估计肥胖的全国总体经济负担。

方法

该研究基于对2009年至2014年支付方索赔数据以及2014年至2019年土耳其健康调查(THS)的回顾性汇总数据进行横断面分析。第一步,计算肥胖成年人中与肥胖相关的人均年度总体医疗保健支出,并在支付方和医疗保健类别的亚组中进行计算。第二步,使用所开发的模型,估计成年肥胖的国家经济疾病负担以及未来30年估计支出的预测。经济价值根据2021年购买力平价(PPP)的美元价值进行调整(PPP 1.0 = 2.782土耳其里拉)。

结果

肥胖个体的年度医疗保健成本显著高于体重指数(BMI)正常的个体(优势比1.243;95%置信区间:1.206 - 1.281),且成本增加与较高的BMI呈正相关(I类肥胖为117%,III类肥胖为169%,p < 0.001)。2021年,成年人中与肥胖相关的直接和间接成本估计分别为274亿购买力平价和395亿购买力平价。总经济负担估计为669亿购买力平价,相当于国民生产总值的2.6%。肥胖的直接医疗成本占土耳其总医疗支出的8.4%。

结论

肥胖既是个人健康问题,也是社会健康问题,这凸显了除卫生部门外一系列利益相关者在解决这一问题中可能发挥的作用。间接成本构成了肥胖全国总成本的关键成本驱动因素,这为针对预防或减少肥胖的全人群政策干预提供了依据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7992/12101814/01993a3ad5e9/ofa-2025-0018-0003-542821_F01.jpg

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