Jakosky Bruce M
Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO 80303.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Dec 24;121(52):e2321080121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2321080121. Epub 2024 Dec 16.
Understanding the history of water on Mars is important for understanding both its geological and potential biological history. The abundance and physical state of water has evolved through time, from the surface having an early warmer and wetter environment to the present-day colder and drier one. Although multiple lines of evidence support this change, attempts to determine the abundance of water on the planet, the history of water at the surface, and the sequestration into both permanent and exchangeable sinks have yielded a wide range of results. I explore the uncertainties in the processes and interpretation, to understand our ability to quantitatively determine the water inventory and its changes through time. Results indicate that the present state of models and of the data constraining them preclude determining a unique history for water. This uncertainty does not affect the conclusion that significant amounts of water have been lost to space and to other sinks and that these losses are consistent with the changes in climate and surface environment.
了解火星上的水的历史对于理解其地质历史和潜在的生物历史都很重要。水的丰度和物理状态随时间而演变,从早期表面温暖湿润的环境到如今寒冷干燥的环境。尽管多条证据支持这种变化,但确定火星上水的丰度、表面水的历史以及水被封存到永久和可交换汇中的尝试却产生了广泛的结果。我探讨了这些过程和解释中的不确定性,以了解我们定量确定水储量及其随时间变化的能力。结果表明,当前模型及其数据约束的状态使得无法确定水的唯一历史。这种不确定性并不影响这样的结论,即大量的水已散失到太空和其他汇中,并且这些损失与气候和表面环境的变化是一致的。