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德国队列中早产儿视网膜病变(ROP)风险筛查工具的评估

Evaluation of a Risk Screening Tool for Retinopathy of Prematurity (ROP) in a German Cohort.

作者信息

Butt N, Chlad P, Bläser A, Pulzer F, Thome U H, Ackermann B W

机构信息

Department of Neonatology, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.

Department of Ophthalmology, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.

出版信息

Ophthalmic Epidemiol. 2025 Aug;32(4):455-463. doi: 10.1080/09286586.2024.2399346. Epub 2024 Dec 18.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To assess the efficacy of the DIGIROP-Birth algorithm in identifying infants at risk for developing retinopathy of prematurity (ROP).

METHODS

In a retrospective study, we included preterm infants over 11 years, 2010-2020, meeting the inclusion criteria for the DIGIROP-Birth calculator (24 + 0/7 to 30 + 6/7 weeks of gestational age). We assessed the validity of DIGIROP-Birth using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calculated area-under-curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values.

RESULTS

897 infants were included in the analysis. The median age of the first ophthalmological examination was 40 days (IQR 32-50), the median gestational age was 198 days (IQR 185-209; corresponding to 28 + 2/7 gestational weeks), median birth weight was 1000 g (IQR 790-1300). Of 897 screened children, 458 (51.1%) were diagnosed with ROP, and 34 of 897 (3.8%) required treatment.Analysis of ROP requiring treatment predicted by DIGIROP showed an AUC of 0.860 [95%-CI 0.795-0.925]. An equilibrium of sensitivity and specificity existed at a probability of 4.12%. The positive predictive value was 10.95%, and the negative predictive value was 99.36%. Independent significant peri- and postnatal risk factors were emergency cesarean section and mass blood transfusions.

CONCLUSIONS

The DIGIROP-Birth calculator showed good predictive power in our studied population, with an incidence of 3.79% for therapy-requiring ROP. Peri- and postnatal risk factors should be included in ROP screening.

摘要

目的

评估DIGIROP-Birth算法在识别有发生早产儿视网膜病变(ROP)风险的婴儿方面的有效性。

方法

在一项回顾性研究中,我们纳入了2010年至2020年期间超过11岁的早产儿,这些早产儿符合DIGIROP-Birth计算器的纳入标准(胎龄24+0/7至30+6/7周)。我们使用受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线评估DIGIROP-Birth的有效性,并计算曲线下面积(AUC)、敏感性、特异性以及阳性和阴性预测值。

结果

897名婴儿纳入分析。首次眼科检查的中位年龄为40天(四分位间距32-50),中位胎龄为198天(四分位间距185-209;相当于28+2/7孕周),中位出生体重为1000克(四分位间距790-1300)。在897名筛查儿童中,458名(51.1%)被诊断为ROP,897名中有34名(3.8%)需要治疗。对DIGIROP预测的需要治疗的ROP分析显示AUC为0.860[95%置信区间0.795-0.925]。在概率为4.12%时存在敏感性和特异性的平衡。阳性预测值为10.95%,阴性预测值为99.36%。独立的围产期和产后显著风险因素是急诊剖宫产和大量输血。

结论

DIGIROP-Birth计算器在我们的研究人群中显示出良好的预测能力,需要治疗的ROP发生率为3.79%。围产期和产后风险因素应纳入ROP筛查。

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