Gourley D R, Hadsall R S, Gourley G, Fine D J, Wiener M
Am J Hosp Pharm. 1985 Jan;42(1):96-101.
Trends in institutional pharmacy practice were identified, and ASHP members' views of these trends were evaluated in a futures study. A list of statements concerning the practice of institutional pharmacy in the year 2000 was developed using a modified Delphi method. A random sample of 3000 active ASHP members received the questionnaire and were asked to estimate the probability that each of the 42 statements would occur by the year 2000. The responses were analyzed to reduce the number of variables to common factors. A total of 1276 of the returned questionnaires were usable. Six factors were identified: pharmacy-medicine linkage, advanced training or degree, drug administration, quality assurance and accreditation, supportive personnel, and pharmacy-nursing conflict. There were differences in the mean values of responses of items related to various factors when they were compared by sex, age, position held, degree held, and residency training. The key trends predicted were that advanced training or degrees will be necessities in the year 2000, institutional practice will be composed of multiple tracks, postgraduate education will be required of clinicians and administrators, turf conflict with nurses will increase, and accreditation standards and other safeguards for quality health care will continue to be required and will increase. The trends in how ASHP members conceptualized the future of their profession can provide insight for individuals developing programs in pharmacy education, health-care administration, institutional practice, and the pharmaceutical industry.
本研究确定了机构药房实践的趋势,并在一项未来研究中评估了美国卫生系统药师协会(ASHP)成员对这些趋势的看法。采用改良德尔菲法制定了一份关于2000年机构药房实践的陈述清单。从3000名活跃的ASHP成员中随机抽取样本,向其发放问卷,要求他们估计42条陈述中每条陈述在2000年发生的可能性。对回复进行分析,以将变量数量减少为共同因素。共回收1276份可用问卷。确定了六个因素:药学与医学的联系、高级培训或学位、给药、质量保证与认证、支持人员以及药学与护理的冲突。当按性别、年龄、职位、学位和住院医师培训进行比较时,与各因素相关项目的回复均值存在差异。预测的关键趋势是,到2000年高级培训或学位将成为必需,机构实践将由多个轨道组成,临床医生和管理人员将需要研究生教育,与护士的地盘冲突将增加,并且对优质医疗保健的认证标准和其他保障措施将继续被要求并会增加。ASHP成员对其职业未来的概念化方式所呈现的趋势可为从事药学教育、医疗保健管理、机构实践和制药行业项目开发的个人提供见解。