Guigon Valentin, Villeval Marie Claire, Dreher Jean-Claude
Neuroeconomics lab, Institut des Sciences Cognitives Marc Jeannerod (ISCMJ), CNRS UMR 5229 and Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Bron, France.
CNRS, Université Lumière Lyon 2, Université Jean-Monnet Saint-Etienne, emlyon business school, GATE, Lyon, France.
Commun Psychol. 2024 Dec 19;2(1):122. doi: 10.1038/s44271-024-00170-w.
How do we assess the veracity of ambiguous news, and does metacognition guide our decisions to seek further information? In a controlled experiment, participants evaluated the veracity of ambiguous news and decided whether to seek extra information. Confidence in their veracity judgments did not predict accuracy, showing limited metacognitive ability when facing ambiguous news. Despite this, confidence in one's judgment was the primary driver of the demand for additional information about the news. Lower confidence predicted a stronger desire for extra information, regardless of the veracity judgment. Two key news characteristics led individuals to confidently misinterpret both true and fake news. News imprecision and news tendency to polarize opinions increased the likelihood of misjudgment, highlighting individuals' vulnerability to ambiguity. Structural equation modeling revealed that the demand for disambiguating information, driven by uncalibrated metacognition, became increasingly ineffective as individuals are drawn in by the ambiguity of the news. Our results underscore the importance of metacognitive abilities in mediating the relationship between assessing ambiguous information and the decision to seek or avoid more information.
我们如何评估模糊新闻的真实性,元认知是否会指导我们决定去寻求更多信息?在一项对照实验中,参与者评估了模糊新闻的真实性,并决定是否寻求额外信息。他们对真实性判断的信心并不能预测准确性,这表明在面对模糊新闻时元认知能力有限。尽管如此,对自己判断的信心是对该新闻寻求更多信息需求的主要驱动因素。信心较低预示着对额外信息有更强烈的渴望,无论真实性判断如何。两个关键的新闻特征导致个体对真实和虚假新闻都自信地产生误判。新闻的不精确性和使观点两极分化的倾向增加了误判的可能性,凸显了个体对模糊性的脆弱性。结构方程模型显示,由于未校准的元认知驱动的消除歧义信息的需求,随着个体被新闻的模糊性所吸引,这种需求变得越来越无效。我们的结果强调了元认知能力在调节评估模糊信息与寻求或避免更多信息的决定之间关系的重要性。