Natsukawa Haruki, Tavecchia Giacomo, Frías Óscar, Sergio Fabrizio, Hiraldo Fernando, Blanco Guillermo
Faculty of Agriculture, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan.
Department of Conservation Biology, Estación Biológica de Doñana-CSIC, Seville, Spain.
Oecologia. 2024 Dec 23;207(1):15. doi: 10.1007/s00442-024-05656-2.
Accurate identification of decreasing trends is a prerequisite for successful conservation, but can be challenging when immigration compensates local declines in abundance. Here, we show that a potential declining trend driven by low vital rates was overridden and converted into a spectacular increase by massive immigration into the population of a semi-social raptor, the black kite Milvus migrans, breeding in a highly contaminated area near a major landfill. Immigration was promoted by a growing food-base of live prey, coupled with the attraction exerted by the progressive gathering of a large flock of non-breeders at the area, resulting in an "attraction spiral" that lured large numbers of breeders to settle into a contaminated population incapable of self-sustenance. Immigration was so prevalent that, in little more than a decade, over 95% of the original population was substituted by immigrants, which showed the enormous potential of immigration as a rescue mechanism. At the same time, immigration may hide cryptic threats, as shown here, and expose some species, especially group-living mobile ones, to rapid attraction to anthropogenic subsidies, whose potential role as evolutionary traps is well known. The dynamics exposed here may become increasingly common, affecting many other species in our growingly anthropogenic world. Our results remark the often overlooked importance of immigration in ecology, evolution, and conservation as a key player for population dynamics and their more realistic forecast.
准确识别数量下降趋势是成功开展保护工作的前提条件,但当迁入补充了当地数量的减少时,这可能具有挑战性。在此,我们表明,由低繁殖率驱动的潜在下降趋势被大量迁入所掩盖,并转变为显著增长,迁入的是一种半群居猛禽——在大型垃圾填埋场附近高度污染地区繁殖的黑鸢(Milvus migrans)种群。活猎物食物基础的增加促进了迁入,再加上大量非繁殖个体逐渐聚集在该地区所产生的吸引力,导致了一种“吸引螺旋”,诱使大量繁殖个体迁入一个无法自我维持生存能力的受污染种群。迁入现象非常普遍,在短短十多年时间里,超过95%的原种群被迁入个体所取代,这显示出迁入作为一种拯救机制的巨大潜力。与此同时,迁入可能隐藏着隐秘的威胁,如此处所示,并使一些物种,尤其是群居的可移动物种,迅速被人为补贴所吸引,其作为进化陷阱的潜在作用是众所周知的。此处所揭示的动态可能会变得越来越普遍,影响我们这个日益人为化的世界中的许多其他物种。我们的研究结果强调了迁入在生态学、进化和保护中作为种群动态及其更现实预测的关键因素这一常常被忽视的重要性。