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转移性结直肠癌的二线全身治疗:基于随机对照试验的系统评价和贝叶斯网络Meta分析

Second-line systemic treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis based on RCT.

作者信息

Sun Chengyu, Fan Enguo, Huang Luqiao, Zhang Zhengguo

机构信息

Department of Colorectal Surgery, The Affiliated Xuzhou Clinical College of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou Central Hospital, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China.

State Key Laboratory of Medical Molecular Biology, Department of Microbiology and Parasitology, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, School of Basic Medicine Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Dec 23;19(12):e0313278. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0313278. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The optimal second-line systemic treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is inconclusive.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library for RCTs comparing second-line systemic treatments for mCRC from the inception of each database up to February 3, 2024. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique was used in this network meta-analysis (NMA) to generate the direct and indirect comparison results among multiple treatments in progression-free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR), overall survival (OS), complete response (CR), partial response (PR), grade 3 and above adverse events (Grade ≥ 3AE), and any adverse events (Any AE). The surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) was adopted to evaluate the probability of each treatment being the optimum intervention. Subgroup analyses were performed based on the RAS gene status.

RESULTS

A total of 47 randomized controlled trials were included, involving 16,925 patients and 44 second-line systemic treatments. In improving OS, FOLFOX + Bevacizumab + Erlotinib exhibited significant superiority (SUCRA:92.7%). In improving PFS, Irinotecan + CMAB009 (SUCRA:86.4%) had advantages over other treatments. FOLFIRI + Trebananib (SUCRA:88.1%) had a significant advantage in improving ORR. Among multiple second-line treatments, the SUCRA values of FOLFOX + Bevacizumab in PFS, OS, ORR, and PR were 83.4%, 74.0%, 81.1%, and 86.1%, respectively, and the safety was not significantly different from other interventions. Subgroup analyses showed that FOLFIRI + Bevacizumab + panitumumab ranked among the top in survival outcomes in the RAS-mutant population (OS SUCRA: 87.9%; PFS SUCRA: 70.2%); whereas in the RAS-wild-type population, FOLFIRI + Bevacizumab significantly improved survival outcomes (OS SUCRA: 73.2%; PFS SUCRA: 65.1%).

CONCLUSION

For most people, FOLFOX + Bevacizumab may be the best second-line systemic treatment regimen for mCRC. For RAS-mutant populations, FOLFIRI + Bevacizumab + Panitumumab is recommended. However, the therapeutic effect may be affected by the patient's physiological state, and clinicians should apply it based on actual conditions.

摘要

背景

转移性结直肠癌(mCRC)的最佳二线全身治疗尚无定论。

方法

我们在PubMed、Web of Science、EMBASE和Cochrane图书馆中检索了从每个数据库建立到2024年2月3日比较mCRC二线全身治疗的随机对照试验(RCT)。本网络荟萃分析(NMA)采用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)技术,以生成多种治疗在无进展生存期(PFS)、总缓解率(ORR)、总生存期(OS)、完全缓解(CR)、部分缓解(PR)、3级及以上不良事件(Grade≥3AE)和任何不良事件(Any AE)方面的直接和间接比较结果。采用累积排序曲线下面积(SUCRA)评估每种治疗成为最佳干预措施的概率。基于RAS基因状态进行亚组分析。

结果

共纳入47项随机对照试验,涉及16925例患者和44种二线全身治疗。在改善OS方面,FOLFOX+贝伐单抗+厄洛替尼表现出显著优势(SUCRA:92.7%)。在改善PFS方面,伊立替康+CMAB009(SUCRA:86.4%)优于其他治疗。FOLFIRI+曲贝替定(SUCRA:88.1%)在改善ORR方面具有显著优势。在多种二线治疗中,FOLFOX+贝伐单抗在PFS、OS、ORR和PR方面的SUCRA值分别为83.4%、74.0%、81.1%和86.1%,其安全性与其他干预措施无显著差异。亚组分析显示,FOLFIRI+贝伐单抗+帕尼单抗在RAS突变人群的生存结局中名列前茅(OS SUCRA:87.9%;PFS SUCRA:70.2%);而在RAS野生型人群中,FOLFIRI+贝伐单抗显著改善了生存结局(OS SUCRA:73.2%;PFS SUCRA:65.1%)。

结论

对于大多数人来说,FOLFOX+贝伐单抗可能是mCRC最佳的二线全身治疗方案。对于RAS突变人群,推荐FOLFIRI+贝伐单抗+帕尼单抗。然而,治疗效果可能受患者生理状态影响,临床医生应根据实际情况应用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/767f/11666018/0302233c2948/pone.0313278.g001.jpg

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