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用于光伏能源系统中增强热控制的深度回归分析。

Deep regression analysis for enhanced thermal control in photovoltaic energy systems.

作者信息

Elmessery Wael M, Habib Abadeer, Shams Mahmoud Y, Abd El-Hafeez Tarek, El-Messery Tamer M, Elsayed Salah, Fodah Ahmed E M, Abdelwahab Taha A M, Ali Khaled A M, Osman Yasser K O T, Abdelshafie Mohamed F, El-Wahhab Gomaa G Abd, Elwakeel Abdallah E

机构信息

Agricultural Engineering Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Kafrelsheikh University, Kafr El-Shaikh, 33516, Egypt.

International Research Centre "Biotechnologies of the Third Millennium", Faculty of Biotechnologies (BioTech), ITMO University, St. Petersburg, 191002, Russia.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Dec 23;14(1):30600. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-81101-x.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-024-81101-x
PMID:39715782
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11666595/
Abstract

Efficient cooling systems are critical for maximizing the electrical efficiency of Photovoltaic (PV) solar panels. However, conventional temperature probes often fail to capture the spatial variability in thermal patterns across panels, impeding accurate assessment of cooling system performance. Existing methods for quantifying cooling efficiency lack precision, hindering the optimization of PV system maintenance and renewable energy output. This research introduces a novel approach utilizing deep learning techniques to address these limitations. A U-Net architecture is employed to segment solar panels from background elements in thermal imaging videos, facilitating a comprehensive analysis of cooling system efficiency. Two predictive models-a 3-layer Feedforward Neural Network (FNN) and a proposed Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-are developed and compared for estimating cooling percentages from individual images. The study aims to enhance the precision and reliability of heat mapping capabilities for non-invasive, vision-based monitoring of photovoltaic cooling dynamics. By leveraging deep regression techniques, the proposed CNN model demonstrates superior predictive capability compared to traditional methods, enabling accurate estimation of cooling efficiencies across diverse scenarios. Experimental evaluation illustrates the supremacy of the CNN model in predictive capability, yielding a mean square error (MSE) of just 0.001171821, as opposed to the FNN's MSE of 0.016. Furthermore, the CNN demonstrates remarkable improvements in mean absolute error (MAE) and R-square, registering values of 1.2% and 0.95, respectively, whereas the FNN posts comparatively inferior numbers of 3.5% and 0.85. This research introduces labeled thermal imaging datasets and tailored deep learning architectures, accelerating advancements in renewable energy technology solutions. Moreover, the study provides insights into the practical implementation and cost-effectiveness of the proposed cooling efficiency monitoring system, highlighting hardware requirements, integration with existing infrastructure, and sensitivity analysis. The economic viability and scalability of the system are assessed through comprehensive cost-benefit analysis and scalability assessment, demonstrating significant potential for cost savings and revenue increases in large-scale PV installations. Furthermore, strategies for addressing limitations, enhancing predictive accuracy, and scaling to larger datasets are discussed, laying the groundwork for future research and industry collaboration in the field of photovoltaic thermal management optimization.

摘要

高效的冷却系统对于最大化光伏(PV)太阳能板的电效率至关重要。然而,传统的温度探头常常无法捕捉面板上热模式的空间变化,这阻碍了对冷却系统性能的准确评估。现有的量化冷却效率的方法缺乏精度,妨碍了光伏系统维护和可再生能源输出的优化。本研究引入了一种利用深度学习技术来解决这些局限性的新方法。采用U-Net架构从热成像视频中的背景元素中分割出太阳能板,便于对冷却系统效率进行全面分析。开发并比较了两种预测模型——一个3层前馈神经网络(FNN)和一个提出的卷积神经网络(CNN),用于从单个图像估计冷却百分比。该研究旨在提高用于光伏冷却动态的非侵入式、基于视觉监测的热成像能力的精度和可靠性。通过利用深度回归技术,所提出的CNN模型与传统方法相比显示出卓越的预测能力,能够在各种场景下准确估计冷却效率。实验评估表明CNN模型在预测能力方面具有优越性,均方误差(MSE)仅为0.001171821,而FNN的MSE为0.016。此外,CNN在平均绝对误差(MAE)和决定系数(R平方)方面有显著改善,分别为1.2%和0.95,而FNN的相应数值分别为3.5%和0.85,相对较差。本研究引入了标记的热成像数据集和定制的深度学习架构,加速了可再生能源技术解决方案的进步。此外,该研究还提供了对所提出的冷却效率监测系统的实际实施和成本效益的见解,突出了硬件要求、与现有基础设施的集成以及敏感性分析。通过全面的成本效益分析和可扩展性评估来评估该系统的经济可行性和可扩展性,表明在大规模光伏装置中具有显著的成本节约和收入增加潜力。此外,还讨论了解决局限性、提高预测准确性以及扩展到更大数据集的策略,为光伏热管理优化领域未来的研究和行业合作奠定了基础。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e268/11666595/e6e7ea0cc460/41598_2024_81101_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e268/11666595/70130b0cb693/41598_2024_81101_Figa_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e268/11666595/401fbffbed8c/41598_2024_81101_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e268/11666595/d8c4944fe07d/41598_2024_81101_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e268/11666595/e6e7ea0cc460/41598_2024_81101_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e268/11666595/70130b0cb693/41598_2024_81101_Figa_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e268/11666595/401fbffbed8c/41598_2024_81101_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e268/11666595/d8c4944fe07d/41598_2024_81101_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e268/11666595/e6e7ea0cc460/41598_2024_81101_Fig7_HTML.jpg

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