Liu Yong, Timo de Vries Walter, Zhang Guanghong, Cui Xufeng
School of Business Administration, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan, 430073, China.
School of Engineering and Design, Department of Aerospace and Geodesy, Technical University of Munich (TUM), Munich, 80333, Germany.
Heliyon. 2024 Nov 30;10(23):e40857. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40857. eCollection 2024 Dec 15.
Land use planning tools are essential for effective land management. However, existing research has not thoroughly explored the evolution and future potential of these tools. This study addresses this gap through comprehensive literature review and data collection, mapping the progression of land use planning tools from their inception to their future trajectories. Our findings indicate that land use planning tools have evolved through four distinct epochs: 1.0 to 4.0. These epochs are defined as follows: Foundational Surveying Tools (1900s-1950s), Computerized Tools (1960s-1980s), Internet Technology Tools (1990s-2000s), and Smart Tools (2010s to Present). Presently, these tools face several limitations, including complex and redundant planning systems, poor adaptability, insufficient public engagement, and a lack of emphasis on sustainable development. Looking ahead, the emergence of the 5.0 era around the 2040s is anticipated, marked by advancements such as blockchain, VR/AR, quantum computing, and digital twins. This study provides valuable insights for scholars in the field and informs future development of land use planning tools.
土地利用规划工具对于有效的土地管理至关重要。然而，现有研究尚未全面探讨这些工具的演变及未来潜力。本研究通过全面的文献综述和数据收集来填补这一空白，绘制土地利用规划工具从起源到未来轨迹的发展历程。我们的研究结果表明，土地利用规划工具已经历了四个不同的时代：1.0到4.0。这些时代的定义如下：基础测量工具（20世纪初至20世纪50年代）、计算机化工具（20世纪60年代至20世纪80年代）、互联网技术工具（20世纪90年代至21世纪初）以及智能工具（2010年代至今）。目前，这些工具面临若干限制，包括规划系统复杂且冗余、适应性差、公众参与不足以及对可持续发展缺乏重视。展望未来，预计在2040年代左右将出现5.0时代，其特点是区块链、虚拟现实/增强现实、量子计算和数字孪生等技术进步。本研究为该领域的学者提供了有价值的见解，并为土地利用规划工具的未来发展提供了参考。
