Antoo Mubtasim Ishraq, Mia Md Bodruddoza, Hasan Md Asif, Khan Mahfuzur Rahman, Khan Pavel, Chowdury Tareq, Rose Anupom Hasib, Uddin Ahmed Kazi Matin
Department of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, 1000, Bangladesh.
Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Tulane University, USA.
Heliyon. 2024 Dec 3;10(23):e40888. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40888. eCollection 2024 Dec 15.
Bhasan Char has undergone noteworthy transformations in its geographical characteristics since its emergence in 2003. Driven by sediment transported by the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna river system, the island has gradually transitioned from a stretched-out configuration to a more rounded shape primarily due to continuous accretion, while erosion has been minimal since 2012. Currently, the island is being prepared to accommodate over 1 million Forcefully Displaced Myanmar Nationals (FDMN) refugees. This investigation, conducted over the time frame spanning from 2003 to 2023, utilizes multi-temporal satellite imagery to scrutinize the altering geography of the island, encompassing the processes of erosion and accretion, modifications in the coastline, and changes in land utilization and coverage influenced by seasonal variations. By employing the Advanced Land Observing Satellite (ALOS)/Phased Array Type L-Band Synthetic Aperture Radar (PALSAR), the study pioneers an evaluation of storm surge risks that are specific to this island. Additionally, the research utilizes water indices to understand the seasonal geomorphic dynamics of the island and performs a supervised classification to assess land utilization and coverage alterations. The inundation map shows accretion in the north and erosion in the south and southeast. Southwest is the most stable area with the majority population. After the 'Ashrayan -3' project, significant land use and land cover changes occurred, including urbanization, embankment construction, and agricultural modifications. The average elevation of the island is 2.84 m above sea level, with a risk of inundation from storm surges exceeding 3 m. Rehabilitated populations are particularly threatened if the embankment height of 4.8 m is surpassed. The study's outcomes indicate that other projects worldwide might use the island restoration efforts as a model. This emphasizes how crucial it is to keep an eye on changes in land cover and use for upcoming planning and adaptation initiatives. Moreover, it highlights the necessity of proper assessments of storm surge hazards to guarantee the security and longevity of island communities.
自2003年出现以来,巴桑查尔岛的地理特征发生了显著变化。受恒河-布拉马普特拉河-梅格纳河系输送的沉积物影响,该岛逐渐从狭长形态转变为更圆润的形状,主要原因是持续的淤积,而自2012年以来侵蚀极小。目前,该岛正准备接纳超过100万被迫流离失所的缅甸国民(FDMN)难民。这项在2003年至2023年期间进行的调查,利用多时相卫星图像来仔细研究该岛不断变化的地理情况,包括侵蚀和淤积过程、海岸线变化以及受季节变化影响的土地利用和覆盖变化。通过使用先进陆地观测卫星(ALOS)/相控阵L波段合成孔径雷达(PALSAR),该研究率先评估了该岛特有的风暴潮风险。此外,该研究利用水体指数来了解该岛的季节性地貌动态,并进行监督分类以评估土地利用和覆盖变化。淹没图显示北部淤积,南部和东南部侵蚀。西南部是人口最多且最稳定的地区。“阿什拉扬-3”项目之后,发生了重大的土地利用和土地覆盖变化,包括城市化、堤坝建设和农业改造。该岛的平均海拔为海平面以上2.84米,存在风暴潮超过3米导致淹没的风险。如果超过4.8米的堤坝高度,安置的人口将受到特别威胁。该研究结果表明,全球其他项目可能会将该岛的恢复工作作为范例。这强调了密切关注土地覆盖和用途变化对于未来规划和适应举措的至关重要性。此外,它突出了对风暴潮危害进行适当评估以确保岛屿社区安全和长久发展的必要性。