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基于多参数磁共振成像预测子宫内膜癌淋巴结转移的列线图的开发与验证:一项回顾性队列研究

Development and Validation of a Nomogram Based on Multiparametric MRI for Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Endometrial Cancer: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

作者信息

Tao Yuanfang, Wei Yuchen, Yu Yanyan, Qin Xingqing, Huang Yongmei, Liao Jinyuan

机构信息

Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China (Y.T., Y.W., Y.Y., X.Q., Y.H., J.L.).

Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China (Y.T., Y.W., Y.Y., X.Q., Y.H., J.L.); Key Laboratory of Early Prevention and Treatment for Regional High Frequency Tumor (Guangxi Medical University), Ministry of Education, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, PR China (J.L.).

出版信息

Acad Radiol. 2025 May;32(5):2751-2762. doi: 10.1016/j.acra.2024.12.008. Epub 2024 Dec 27.

DOI:10.1016/j.acra.2024.12.008
PMID:39732615
Abstract

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To develop a radiomics nomogram based on clinical and magnetic resonance features to predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) in endometrial cancer (EC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively collected 308 patients with endometrial cancer (EC) from two centers. These patients were divided into a training set (n=155), a test set (n=67), and an external validation set (n=86). Based on T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), and dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) arterial phase and equilibrium phase images, radiomics features were extracted. Clinical characteristics were determined using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Subsequently, eight machine learning classification algorithms were employed to construct the radiomics model and clinical models, from which the best algorithm was selected. Ultimately, the radiomics and clinical features were combined to establish the radiomics nomogram. The efficacy of each model was appraised through receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

The LR algorithm demonstrated superior predictive accuracy, with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.903 and 0.824 in the test and validation sets, respectively. Radiomics nomograms showed better predictive performance compared to clinical models or radiomics models, the AUCs in the test and external validation set were 0.900 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.784-1.000) and 0.858 (95%CI: 0.750-0.966), respectively. The calibration curve and DCA indicated that the nomogram had excellent predictive performance.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram based on radiomics features and clinical parameters could effectively predict LNM in patients with EC, thus providing a basis for clinicians to develop individualized treatment plans preoperatively.

摘要

原理与目的

基于临床和磁共振特征开发一种放射组学列线图,以预测子宫内膜癌(EC)的淋巴结转移(LNM)。

材料与方法

我们回顾性收集了来自两个中心的308例子宫内膜癌患者。这些患者被分为训练集(n = 155)、测试集(n = 67)和外部验证集(n = 86)。基于T2加权成像(T2WI)、扩散加权成像(DWI)以及动态对比增强(DCE)动脉期和平衡期图像,提取放射组学特征。使用多因素逻辑回归分析确定临床特征。随后,采用八种机器学习分类算法构建放射组学模型和临床模型,并从中选择最佳算法。最终,将放射组学和临床特征相结合,建立放射组学列线图。通过受试者工作特征(ROC)、校准曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)评估每个模型的效能。

结果

LR算法显示出卓越的预测准确性,在测试集和验证集中的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.903和0.824。与临床模型或放射组学模型相比,放射组学列线图显示出更好的预测性能,在测试集和外部验证集中的AUC分别为0.900(95%置信区间[CI]:0.784 - 1.000)和0.858(95%CI:0.750 - 0.966)。校准曲线和DCA表明列线图具有出色的预测性能。

结论

基于放射组学特征和临床参数的列线图能够有效预测EC患者的LNM,从而为临床医生术前制定个体化治疗方案提供依据。

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