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An artificial intelligence application to predict prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation among patients with critical orthopaedic trauma: an establishment and validation study.

作者信息

Jiang Weigang, Liu Tao, Sun Baisheng, Zhong Lixia, Han Zhencan, Lu Minhua, Lei Mingxing

机构信息

Department of Orthopedics, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University (Suzhou Dushu Lake Hospital), Suzhou City, 215000, Jiang Su Province, People's Republic of China.

Department of Orthopedics, The 9 th Medical Centre of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.

出版信息

BMC Musculoskelet Disord. 2024 Dec 30;25(1):1089. doi: 10.1186/s12891-024-08245-9.


DOI:10.1186/s12891-024-08245-9
PMID:39736687
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11684237/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation is a common occurrence in clinical ICU patients and presents significant challenges for patient care and resource allocation. Predicting prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation is crucial for improving patient outcomes, preventing ventilator-associated complications, and guiding targeted clinical interventions. However, specific tools for predicting prolonged mechanical ventilation among ICU patients, particularly those with critical orthopaedic trauma, are currently lacking. The purpose of the study was to establish and validate an artificial intelligence (AI) platform to assess the prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation among patients with critical orthopaedic trauma. METHODS: This study analyzed 1400 patients with critical orthopaedic trauma who received mechanical ventilation, and the prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation was defined as not weaning from mechanical ventilation for ≧ 7 days. Patients were randomly classified into a training cohort and a validation cohort based on the ratio of 8:2. Patients in the training cohort were used to establish models using machine learning techniques, including logistic regression (LR), extreme gradient boosting machine (eXGBM), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), whereas patients in the validation cohort were used to validate these models. The prediction performance of these models was evaluated using discrimination and calibration. A scoring system was used to comprehensively assess and compare the prediction performance of the models, based on ten evaluation metrics. External validation of the model was performed in 122 patients with critical orthopaedic trauma from a university teaching hospital. Furthermore, the optimal model was deployed as an AI calculator, which was accessible online, to assess the risk of prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation. RESULTS: Among the developed models, the eXGBM model had the highest score of 50, followed by the LightGBM model (48) and the RF model (37). In detail, the eXGBM model outperformed other models in terms of recall (0.892), Brier score (0.088), log loss (0.291), and calibration slope (0.999), and the model was the second best in terms of area under the curve value (0.949, 95%: 0.933-0.961), accuracy (0.871), F1 score (0.873), and discrimination slope (0.647). The SHAP revealed that the most important five features were respiratory rate, lower limb fracture, glucose, PaO2, and PaCO2. External validation of the eXGBM model also demonstrated favorable prediction performance, with an AUC value of 0.893 (95%CI: 0.819-0.967). The eXGBM model was successfully deployed as an AI platform, which was at https://prolongedmechanicalventilation-lqsfm6ecky6dpd4ybkvohu.streamlit.app/ . By simply clicking the link and inputting features, users were able to obtain the risk of experiencing prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation for individuals. Based on the risk of prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation, patients were stratified into the high-risk or the low-risk groups, and corresponding therapeutic interventions were recommended, accordingly. CONCLUSIONS: The AI model shows potential as a valuable tool for stratifying patients with a high risk of prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation. The AI model may offer a promising approach for optimizing patient care and resource allocation in critical care settings. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/66951a87a08a/12891_2024_8245_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/820ebf09f91c/12891_2024_8245_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/88436f1a6305/12891_2024_8245_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/cd25b97ef4fd/12891_2024_8245_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/db48898924ec/12891_2024_8245_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/a988c56019a4/12891_2024_8245_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/66951a87a08a/12891_2024_8245_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/820ebf09f91c/12891_2024_8245_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/88436f1a6305/12891_2024_8245_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/cd25b97ef4fd/12891_2024_8245_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/db48898924ec/12891_2024_8245_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/a988c56019a4/12891_2024_8245_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c321/11684237/66951a87a08a/12891_2024_8245_Fig6_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Development and validation of an artificial intelligence mobile application for predicting 30-day mortality in critically ill patients with orthopaedic trauma.

Int J Med Inform. 2024-4

[2]
Development and validation of a web-based artificial intelligence prediction model to assess massive intraoperative blood loss for metastatic spinal disease using machine learning techniques.

Spine J. 2024-1

[3]
The Survival Outcomes of Patients Requiring Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation.

Medicina (Kaunas). 2023-3-20

[4]
A machine learning-Based model to predict early death among bone metastatic breast cancer patients: A large cohort of 16,189 patients.

Front Cell Dev Biol. 2022-12-7

[5]
Artificial Intelligence in Intensive Care Medicine: Bibliometric Analysis.

J Med Internet Res. 2022-11-30

[6]
A machine learning-based prediction model for in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients with hip fracture: An internal and external validated study.

Injury. 2023-2

[7]
Biological signatures and prediction of an immunosuppressive status-persistent critical illness-among orthopedic trauma patients using machine learning techniques.

Front Immunol. 2022

[8]
Machine learning approaches for prediction of early death among lung cancer patients with bone metastases using routine clinical characteristics: An analysis of 19,887 patients.

Front Public Health. 2022

[9]
Transfusion management in the trauma patient.

Curr Opin Crit Care. 2022-12-1

[10]
Factors associated with prolonged weaning from mechanical ventilation in medical patients.

Ther Adv Respir Dis. 2022

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