Wang Xinyi, Zhang Yuting, Yang Mengting, Wu Nan, Wang Shan, Chen Hong, Zhou Tianyang, Zhang Ying, Wang Xiaolan, Jin Zining, Zheng Ang, Yao Fan, Zhang Dianlong, Jin Feng, Qin Pan, Wang Jia
Department of Breast Surgery, Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, No. 467 Zhongshan Road, Shahekou District, Dalian, China.
Faculty of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, China.
Sci Rep. 2024 Dec 30;14(1):31644. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-80409-y.
Early prediction of patient responses to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) is essential for the precision treatment of early breast cancer (EBC). Therefore, this study aims to noninvasively and early predict pathological complete response (pCR). We used dynamic ultrasound (US) imaging changes acquired during NACT, along with clinicopathological features, to create a nomogram and construct a machine learning model. This retrospective study included 304 EBC patients recruited from multiple centers. All enrollees had completed NACT regimens, and underwent US examinations at baseline and at each NACT cycle. We subsequently determined that percentage reduction of tumor maximum diameter from baseline to third cycle of NACT serves to independent predictor for pCR, enabling creation of a nomogram ([Formula: see text]). Our predictive accuracy further improved ([Formula: see text]) by combining dynamic US data and clinicopathological features in a machine learning model. Such models may offer a means of accurately predicting NACT responses in this setting, helping to individualize patient therapy. Our study may provide additional insights into the US-based response prediction by focusing on the dynamic changes of the tumor in the early and full NACT cycle.
早期预测患者对新辅助化疗(NACT)的反应对于早期乳腺癌(EBC)的精准治疗至关重要。因此,本研究旨在非侵入性地早期预测病理完全缓解(pCR)。我们利用NACT期间获得的动态超声(US)成像变化以及临床病理特征,创建了一个列线图并构建了一个机器学习模型。这项回顾性研究纳入了从多个中心招募的304例EBC患者。所有参与者均完成了NACT方案,并在基线和每个NACT周期接受了超声检查。我们随后确定,从基线到NACT第三个周期肿瘤最大直径的缩小百分比是pCR的独立预测指标,从而能够创建一个列线图([公式:见正文])。通过在机器学习模型中结合动态超声数据和临床病理特征,我们的预测准确性进一步提高([公式:见正文])。此类模型可能提供一种在此情况下准确预测NACT反应的方法,有助于实现患者治疗的个体化。我们的研究可能通过关注肿瘤在NACT早期和整个周期的动态变化,为基于超声的反应预测提供更多见解。