High-risk breast lesions: a combined intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics nomogram model to predict pathologic upgrade and reduce unnecessary surgical excision.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to develop a nomogram that combines intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics based on multi-parametric MRI for predicting the postoperative pathological upgrade of high-risk breast lesions and sparing unnecessary surgeries.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, 138 patients with high-risk breast lesions (January 1, 2019, to January 1, 2023) were randomly divided into a training set (n=96) and a validation set (n=42) at a 7:3 ratio. The best-performing MRI sequence for intratumoral radiomics was selected to develop individual and combined radiomics scores (Rad-Scores). The best Rad-Score was integrated with independent clinical and radiological risk factors by a nomogram. The diagnostic performance of the nomogram was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve, along with accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

The nomogram based on the combined intratumoral and peritumoral Rad-Score of the dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and clinical-radiological features achieved superior diagnostic efficacy in the training (AUC=0.914) and validation set (AUC=0.867) compared to other models. It also achieved a specificity and accuracy of 85.1% and 82.3% during training and 66.7% and 76.2% during validation.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram encapsulating the combined intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics demonstrated superior diagnostic efficacy in postoperative pathological upgrades of high-risk breast lesions, enabling clinicians to make more informed decisions about interventions and follow-up strategies.