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女子足球的技战术演变:对2019年法国女足世界杯和2023年澳大利亚及新西兰女足世界杯控球情况的比较分析

Technical-tactical evolution of women's football: a comparative analysis of ball possessions in the FIFA Women's World Cup France 2019 and Australia & New Zealand 2023.

作者信息

Iván-Baragaño Iyán, Maneiro Rubén, Losada José L, Ardá Antonio

机构信息

Faculty of Sports Sciences, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.

Faculty of Education and Sport, University of Vigo, Vigo, Spain.

出版信息

Biol Sport. 2025 Jan;42(1):11-20. doi: 10.5114/biolsport.2025.139077. Epub 2024 May 7.

DOI:10.5114/biolsport.2025.139077
PMID:39758169
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11694205/
Abstract

The aim of this study was to analyse and compare, both individually and multivariately, the technical-tactical similarities and differences associated with the offensive phase between the FIFA Women's World Cup France 2019 and the FIFA Women's World Cup Australia & New Zealand 2023. Following an observational follow-up design, 4,669 ball possessions were analysed in both tournaments (FWWC19: n = 2,323; FWWC23: n = 2,346). Differences between the two editions were examined using the chi-square statistic (p < .05) and Student's t-test for categorical and continuous criteria, respectively. The effect size was calculated using the contingency coefficient and Cohen's d, respectively. Lastly, a decision tree model was implemented with FWWC as the objective criterion. Statistically significant differences were found between the two tournaments for the criteria Match Status, Match Outcome, Defensive Intention, Interaction Context, MD, MO, Possession Time, and Passes. At the multivariate level, the predictor criteria introduced by the decision tree model were Match Status, Time, MO, Start Zone (width), Passes, Defensive Intention, and Possession zone. Between the two tournaments, increases in average possession time and the number of passes were observed, conditioned by greater technical and tactical efficiency of the teams. Similarly, in the latest edition, there was greater parity among the analysed teams, justifying the inclusion of more teams in the FWWC23. The results of this study demonstrate that in the last 4 years, elite women's football has undergone a change characterized by ball possession and game control.

摘要

本研究的目的是单独和多变量地分析和比较2019年法国女足世界杯与2023年澳大利亚和新西兰女足世界杯进攻阶段相关的技战术异同。采用观察性随访设计,对两项赛事中的4669次控球情况进行了分析(2019年女足世界杯:n = 2323;2023年女足世界杯:n = 2346)。分别使用卡方统计量(p < 0.05)和学生t检验来检验两个赛事之间在分类和连续标准方面的差异。效应量分别使用列联系数和科恩d来计算。最后,以女足世界杯为目标标准实施决策树模型。在比赛状态、比赛结果、防守意图、互动情境、MD、MO、控球时间和传球次数等标准方面,发现两项赛事之间存在统计学上的显著差异。在多变量层面,决策树模型引入的预测标准是比赛状态、时间、MO、起始区域(宽度)、传球次数、防守意图和控球区域。在两项赛事之间,观察到平均控球时间和传球次数有所增加,这是以球队更高的技战术效率为条件的。同样,在最新一届赛事中,被分析的球队之间的差距更小,这证明了2023年女足世界杯纳入更多球队的合理性。本研究结果表明,在过去4年中,精英女子足球经历了以控球和比赛控制为特征的变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f004/11694205/fb1b9bf7515a/JBS-42-54008-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f004/11694205/3285147996c0/JBS-42-54008-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f004/11694205/d2f5b8355b3e/JBS-42-54008-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f004/11694205/8b126cb67362/JBS-42-54008-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f004/11694205/fb1b9bf7515a/JBS-42-54008-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f004/11694205/3285147996c0/JBS-42-54008-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f004/11694205/d2f5b8355b3e/JBS-42-54008-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f004/11694205/8b126cb67362/JBS-42-54008-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f004/11694205/fb1b9bf7515a/JBS-42-54008-g004.jpg

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