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基于优化最大熵模型的栖息地适宜性

Habitat Suitability of Based on the Optimized MaxEnt Model.

作者信息

Yao Jun, Zhou Chengli, Wang Wenquan, Li Yangyang, Du Ting, Shi Lei

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Breeding and Utilization of Resource Insects of National Forestry and Grassland Administration, Institute of Highland Forest Science, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Kunming 650224, China.

Yunnan Key Laboratory of Breeding and Utilization of Resource Insects, Kunming 650224, China.

出版信息

Insects. 2024 Dec 5;15(12):971. doi: 10.3390/insects15120971.

DOI:10.3390/insects15120971
PMID:39769573
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11676850/
Abstract

, commonly known as the tiger butterfly, is a visually appealing species in the Danaidae family. As it is not currently classified as endangered, it is excluded from key protected species lists at national and local levels, limiting focus on its population and habitat status, which may result in it being overlooked in local butterfly conservation initiatives. Yunnan, characterized by high butterfly diversity, presents an ideal region for studying habitat suitability for , which may support the conservation of regional biodiversity. This study employs the MaxEnt ecological niche model, predictions regarding suitable habitat distribution, and trends for and identifying primary environmental factors influencing their distribution. The results indicate that the niche model that includes interspecies relationships provides a distribution prediction closely aligned with the observed range of . Under current climatic conditions, highly suitable habitats for both and its host plant, , are located predominantly in the Yuanjiang River Valley. Optimal conditions occur at average annual temperatures of 19.80-22 °C for and 22-24 °C for . The distribution range of is a vital biological factor limiting 's habitat. By 2040, projections under four future climate scenarios indicate a potential increase in the total area of suitable habitats for , with a general trend of northward expansion.

摘要

,俗称虎斑蝶,是斑蝶科中一种视觉上很吸引人的物种。由于它目前未被列为濒危物种,因此被排除在国家和地方层面的重点保护物种名单之外,这使得对其种群和栖息地状况的关注有限,可能导致它在当地蝴蝶保护倡议中被忽视。云南以蝴蝶多样性高为特点,是研究适合的栖息地适宜性的理想区域,这可能有助于区域生物多样性的保护。本研究采用最大熵生态位模型,预测的适宜栖息地分布和趋势,并确定影响其分布的主要环境因素。结果表明,包含种间关系的生态位模型提供的分布预测与的观测范围密切吻合。在当前气候条件下,和其寄主植物的高度适宜栖息地主要位于元江流域。的最佳条件是年平均温度为19.80 - 22°C,的最佳条件是22 - 24°C。的分布范围是限制栖息地的一个重要生物因素。到2040年,在四种未来气候情景下的预测表明,适宜栖息地的总面积可能会增加,总体趋势是向北扩张。

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