Ritchie Faye, Sapelli Laura, Smith Julie A, Paveley Neil D, Lees Alison K, Bain Ruairidh A, Ritchie James M
ADAS Boxworth, Boxworth, UK.
Centre for Agriculture, Food and Environmental Management, School of Life and Medical Sciences, University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, UK.
Pest Manag Sci. 2025 Apr;81(4):2337-2346. doi: 10.1002/ps.8629. Epub 2025 Jan 10.
Identifying robust integrated pest management (IPM) strategies requires the testing of multiple factors at the same time and assessing their combined effects e.g., on disease control. This makes field-based experiments large, resource intensive and expensive. Hence, there are limits to the number of treatment combinations that can be practically tested under field conditions. Taguchi approach to design of experiments (DOE) or the Taguchi approach is commonly employed to enhance the quality of industrial products. It uses smaller experiments than classical DOE but its applicability to late blight research, and agricultural research, has not been widely evaluated.
Two existing datasets, following the same protocol and investigating the effectiveness of different IPM treatments to control late blight, caused by Phytophthora infestans, on potato, were used to test the Taguchi approach. Disease severity was quantified as area under the disease progress curve (AUDPC). The method could accurately predict the performance of a cultivar and fungicide-based integrated disease management strategy from a small dataset and identified cultivar as a key factor for disease control. Linear regression demonstrated a strong and statistically significant relationship between AUDPC values collected during the original experiments and the predicted disease severity values generated using the Taguchi method.
The Taguchi approach can accurately predict disease severity, with predicted values similar to those collected during the original experiments. Moreover, associated analyses identified the most effective treatment combinations and the factors that exert the greatest influence on disease control. The relevance of this approach when designing and interpreting IPM strategies is discussed. © 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.
确定稳健的病虫害综合防治(IPM)策略需要同时测试多个因素,并评估它们的综合效果,例如对疾病控制的效果。这使得基于田间的实验规模大、资源密集且成本高昂。因此,在田间条件下实际可测试的处理组合数量有限。田口实验设计方法(DOE)或田口方法通常用于提高工业产品的质量。它使用比经典DOE更小的实验,但它在晚疫病研究和农业研究中的适用性尚未得到广泛评估。
使用两个遵循相同方案并调查不同IPM处理对马铃薯上由致病疫霉引起的晚疫病控制效果的现有数据集,来测试田口方法。病害严重程度通过病害进展曲线下面积(AUDPC)进行量化。该方法可以从小数据集中准确预测品种和基于杀菌剂的综合病害管理策略的性能,并将品种确定为疾病控制的关键因素。线性回归表明,在原始实验中收集的AUDPC值与使用田口方法生成的预测病害严重程度值之间存在强且具有统计学意义的关系。
田口方法可以准确预测病害严重程度,预测值与原始实验中收集的值相似。此外,相关分析确定了最有效的处理组合以及对疾病控制影响最大的因素。讨论了该方法在设计和解释IPM策略时的相关性。© 2025化学工业协会。