Growth rate of follicular estrogen secretion in relation to the outcome of in vitro fertilization and embryo replacement.

Estradiol growth rate (EGR) during active follicular development was calculated for 89 stimulated in vitro fertilization cycles by exponential curve fit (r = 0.83). Cycles could be divided into four groups with very low, low, moderate, and high EGR values. Cases without oocyte fertilization and/or embryo replacement did not occur in the moderate EGR range, which also corresponded to a significantly better ratio of replaceable embryos versus oocytes recovered. This group was also endowed with a pregnancy rate amounting to 28.5% per laparoscopy and per replacement, i.e., about three times higher than in the three other groups. Very low or high EGR entailed significantly higher percentages of missed oocyte recovery and/or fertilization failure. The frequency of occurrence of a spontaneous luteinizing hormone peak was negatively correlated with EGR. The data indicate that a better outcome of in vitro fertilization may be expected when the estrogen rise starts early in the cycle and adopts a moderate growth rate (0.3 to 0.4).